The above graph is of sea level rise projected for the city of San Francisco for the period 2018-2100. Please note the following:
Projected sea level rise is as follows based on “anthropogenic forcing”, or human activity:
Level of rise Meters Millimeters (mm) mm per year
Extreme 2.5 2,500 30
High 2.0 2,000 24
Intermediate high 1.5 1,500 18
Intermediate 1.0 1,000 12
Low 0.3 300 3.6
1900-2018 historic 0.23 230 1.95
The current level of sea rise for San Francisco is 1.95 mm a year, with fluctuations, of course. This constant has been unaffected by melting Greenland and Arctic ice (the Antarctic has been stable for 70 years now) or rising CO2 or accelerated melting of land glaciers. In the period 1976-1990, the planet warmed considerably, but I do not see even a small blip in the graph during that time.
So, the question is, when will this rising sea water start? According to the above graph, it should have started in 2019, but that has not happened. If we are going to reach even the low level of sea level rise of 3.6 mm year, we need a 185% increase, and we need it now!
I’ve long had a problem with climatologists in that while they occasionally acknowledge that even though they do not understand the present nor can they make accurate predictions affecting the near-future, in the long run they will be right! That is, they can’t tell us about the present or the past, but doggone it anyway, when it comes to 75 years from now (2100), we should listen to them!
Here’s another problem: I use the Yandex search engine most often, especially if I am looking for a break from Google and the others, which are not reliable beyond basic non-scientific information. Even with Yandex I get the following results (not linked, just a screen grab):
Coastal California communities are being advised to start preparations now for the inevitable rise and the destruction it will cause. I suppose you might surmise this is a wise course of action given the precautionary principle, defined as follows:
“When an activity raises threats of harm to human health or the environment, precautionary measures should be taken even if some cause and effect relationships are not fully established scientifically.”
Michael Crichton, the late author of State of Fear, a harsh critique of the climate change scare, had this to say about the precautionary principle:
“The “precautionary principle,” properly applied, forbids the precautionary principle. It is self-contradictory. The precautionary principle therefore cannot be spoken of in terms that are too harsh.”
In other words, taking more action than necessary to confront a problem before it is even a problem is stupid behavior. If we are going to use our resources to combat sea level rise on the California coast, we should at least wait until that extreme sea level rise begins. Otherwise, we cannot know that it is even going to happen.
Judging by the period 1900-2018, California sea levels will rise about 2mm per year for the foreseeable future, an easily manageable situation, not even a problem.
Piece of Mindful 
I’ll start worrying when the price of real estate in Miami beach goes down. Nice place if you can afford it. Right at sea level, yet prices keep rising. They had the “fake” condo collapse a few years ago to try to scare people away from waterfront properties. Doesn’t seem to be working too well.
Climate change is a classic example of conscious vs. subconscious mind. I believe subconsciously most people know that CC is grifter nonsense. Yet they are indoctrinated to go with the flow. Based on observation I see few people actually modifying their behavior for climate change. Sure, they can talk the talk on carbon emissions, but most elite liberals love their expensive cars, international trips every year, fancy food, big houses, etc. Complete hypocrites, which is good for us.
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I love how the insurance companies cancelled policies a few weeks before the Palisades fires.. very prescient of them! Haha.
There are news stories about how they could pull out of many “vulnerable” areas though, so there goes Miami beach, maybe.. for the merely rich, at least. That’s one lever they could use, I’m sure there are others. Who cares about individual believers voluntarily changing their lifestyle, they’ll be corralled somehow, as long as they accept the narrative, and acquiesce to all the big global rule-setting bodies. They just need that narrative fig leaf, to justify how they will herd everyone wherever they want them, or don’t want them..
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I have a question for the floor.. I would like to hear peoples’ speculation about what the Trump presidency will bring, now that we’ve seen the opening salvo.. For myself, trying to read the tea leaves, I keep seeing conflicting signs – sometimes in the same news item, I can see it going different ways.
On the one hand, given there’s a world system already, of sorts (eg lockstep covid) still these lower power blocs (countries, corporations, etc) haggle for the spoils – is Trump (and the West) moving to set up a more explicit continental bloc (“Oceania”) and try to retain imperial hegemony? Or, is he purely a trojan horse to usher in full collapse of Western hegemony, and preside over the transition to Chinese dominance and rise of the BRICS? Or, it continues on in slow motion for some time, sound and fury signifying nothing. Or… something else again?
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Likely your last sentence, but his EOs on climate change seem impactful. He could be deflecting with his EOs, knowing the strong, intelligent and organized resistance and wanting to calm it down so that it cools off, or there could be recognition among the elite that it is not selling, not penetrating the unwashed masses, and they are backing off.
I opt for misdirection knowing that 1) he is not a billionaire, 2) the assassination attempt was fake, and 3) he cut his chops as an actor.
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Thanks Mark. I have not read his climate change EOs, just heard he was “weakening environmental regulations.”
It often is hard to see where “they” really intend to go on climate change – their damn dialectic muddies the water, lol. One day it looks like they really will grind everything to a halt practically next week; then it looks like, no, all a head fake, and the oil companies will reign for another hundred years.
Not sure who the strong, organized intelligent resistance is? Heritage Foundation and a few others like that? Some scattered academic iconoclasts, pundits, journals and websites? As much as they do good informative work and research, I don’t doubt they’re ultimately on a leash.
Trump’s an actor, okay, sure, but is there more to it than that? Many who believe in the character have wondered, what motivates a man at his age and in his position to spend his time this way? And even if he’s an actor of sorts, one might still wonder exactly what it’s all about… For him personally. What sort of rewards are there, in heaven or on earth, for an actor who can deliver you a mass movement, and maintain it and guide it, to the point that it legitimately enters the history books. He may be fake, but at that point it’s really real, and then how fake was he? Kind of eats its own tail.
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Hi, i haven’t concerned myself with anything happening in the world for a while now. What me worry?
My advice is stop listening to the news, executive orders. It’s useless mind fog. Take control of your destiny. Run to hills, as far away from civilization as you can. Make your own rules.
Southeast Asia is my destination. I have been planting my seeds there for several years now and just need to get out of the bad ol’ US of A to get to a place where there is still street justice, and basically completely lawless. There are many places in the world like that.
The news is a just a joke, why are you concerned?
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You may not be interested in the joke, but the joke is interested in you.. sounds like a good plan though. “Yves Smith” who runs NakedCapitalism recently moved to Thailand, she probably has a clue. OTOH she claims to wear one of those industrial respirators, at least on airplanes.
And.. you sound like a former commenter here, an American who moved to rural Japan and married a local, and has a farm. He chastised everyone for media addiction, advised your goal.
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Tim thanks for being a good sport. Funny story. The uber driver I had who drove me home from Logan, the Bostoprn airport, 3 weeks ago when I got back from Thailand was from Brazil, nice guy who came here 10 years ago. He thought about becoming a police officer, but the requirements are steep, just like every professional job here, and if you fuck up, you are gone for good. He said he is surprised how America is not place he expected after moving here. He doesn’t even date women here, which I agreed with him on, American woman are not the easiest to get along with, to put it mildly. And the new American dream is to leave America, haha.
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Speaking of which, I was of course concerned with the news of the plane crash in DC. I texted my mother, who immediately responded it was on runway #33. I thought someone threw a brick at my head, for Chrissakes. Why the fuck is the news talking about runway #33?? I said I need to investigate. Military helicopter + DC airport + runway #33 = &%$#!? Seriously, there are not 33 runways in an airport, I’m sorry. Moreover DC is the most controlled area in the world, it’s the ultimate place to stage a hoax. I remember walking around the Capitol and White House area several years ago, and being somewhat weirded out because almost no one was walking the streets, with no visible security. Very spooky.
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67 passengers, all you need to know. Now who has been on a plane with less than 200 passengers the past 20 years? I’m talking commercial flights. Similar to 9/11 when the passenger # was ridiculously low.
Speaking of which, I think the airlines definitely hide how many passengers they are transporting. The airbus i took back from Asia had nearly 80 rows total with 10 passengers per row, in economy sections of rows ~30-80. I estimated nearly 600 passengers. I googled what the flight capacity was, and it said 350 to OVER 500 passengers (depending on custom configuration for each airline), which is extremely vague and dissembling.
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Move along, folks. Nothing to see.
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I wonder if it’s a group of young people who just made the grade or something.. off to get assigned new identities. Figure skaters and duck hunters, okay then..
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Oh, he was 40, so not all that young, okay.
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11 and 11. Good spot Mark. Also I noted the stories were a little too “pat” right after the crash. They had the obituaries ready, Nancy Kerrigan drying her eyes out on national TV, and the clincher was Trump blamed the crash on Diversity, Equity and Inclusion.
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