Suharto Is Finally Dead

Indonesia’s Suharto died on January 27. Like Chile’s Pinochet, Suharto is a man who is revered by the right even as they tut-tut his atrocities. What are they to do when a man does all the right things economically, and just has a nasty habit of murdering people? Overlook the murders, obviously, and point to the prosperity that fascism brings with it.

I came across two sources that wrote about Suharto’s passing – Hugo Restall in the Wall Street Journal, and the National Security Archives, which through the Freedom of Information Act has secured the release of internal US government documents that originated during Suharto’s bloody rule.

Hugo Restall:

Will history treat Suharto kindly? Many of his countrymen today do not. Last year, students protested in Jakarta over the government’s decision not to prosecute him for corruption, even as the former Indonesian president lay on his sickbed. Abroad, too, it is fashionable to sneer. Many mention him in the same breath as Mobutu Sese Seko, another officer turned strongman, who plundered Zaire from the mid-1960s to the late 1990s. Suharto is accused of similar avarice, and vastly inflated estimates of his family fortune are blithely tossed around.

But the pendulum of condemnation has swung too far, and Suharto’s death yesterday should be the impetus for a reappraisal. The positive contributions of the man who made Indonesia a respected member of the international community deserve at least equal emphasis.

Consider that when Gen. Suharto came to power after a failed communist coup in 1965, Indonesia was an economic basket case and a troublemaker in the region. The pro-communist populism of President for Life Sukarno had led the country down a dead end. Think of Sukarno as the Hugo Chavez of his era.

National Security Archive:

This National Intelligence Estimate prepared by the CIA at the end of 1968 offers a positive portrait of Suharto and the New Order regime he had assembled following his ouster of Sukarno in March 1966 and consolidation of control in the intervening months. Just 18 months after the bloody massacres involving the murder of between 500,000 and one million alleged supporters of the Indonesian Communist Party, the NIE states that “the Suharto government provides Indonesia with a relatively moderate leadership.” The estimate reports, “There is no force in Indonesia today that can effectively challenge the army’s position, notwithstanding the fact that the Suharto government uses a fairly light hand in wielding the instruments of power. Over the next three to five years, it is unlikely that any threat to the internal security of Indonesia will develop that the military cannot contain; the army–presumably led by Suharto–will almost certainly retain control of the government during this period.”

Hugo Restall:

Instead of seeking to be a leader of the Third World, Suharto invested in his own people. He used the income from oil exports to dramatically improve health and primary education, especially for girls. Women’s participation in the workforce grew. Life expectancy increased to over 70. According to one account, the honor he took the most pride in was an award for developing agriculture.

National Security Archive:

Suharto made his first visit as head of state to the U.S. in May 1970. The trip came amidst a major crackdown on political parties in Indonesia aimed at insuring the dominance of the Joint Secretariat of Functional Groups (GOLKAR) and the Army in parliamentary elections scheduled for 1971, as well as detailed revelations of pervasive corruption among government and military officials including smuggling, bribery, kickbacks and nepotism.

Hugo Restall:

Suharto initially entrusted economic policy to a group of neoclassical economists who became known as the “Berkeley mafia,” since many were trained at the University of California. He had met some of them at the army staff college in the early 1960s. Much like Augusto Pinochet’s “Chicago boys” in Chile, they set fundamental policies of welcoming foreign investment and trade that sustained growth even when their influence waned and corruption grew.

Meanwhile, Indonesia became an ally of the free world and a force for peace in the region. Then Foreign Minister Adam Malik was instrumental in the 1967 founding of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, which was a bulwark against the spread of communism. Its role gradually expanded to promoting trade and stability, and Indonesia remains the indispensable core of the group.

National Security Archive:

On the eve of Indonesia’s full-scale invasion of East Timor, President Ford and Secretary Kissinger stopped in Jakarta en route from China where they had just met with Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping. For more than a year the U.S. had known that Indonesia was planning to forcibly annex East Timor, having followed intelligence reports of armed attacks by Indonesian forces for nearly two months. Thus, Ford or Kissinger could not have been too surprised when, in the middle of a discussion of guerrilla movements in Thailand and Malaysia, Suharto suddenly brought up East Timor. “We want your understanding,” Suharto stated, “if we deem it necessary to take rapid or drastic action.”

Hugo Restall:

Like Deng Xiaoping, he rescued his country from totalitarianism and poverty, and put it on the path to prosperity and a large measure of personal freedoms. For all his flaws, Suharto deserves to be remembered as one of Asia’s greatest leaders.

National Security Archive:

Assistant Secretary of State Richard Holbrooke’s visit to Jakarta in April 1977 and his lengthy meeting with President Suharto was the first by a high-ranking Carter Administration official. The visit occurred during the run-up to tightly-controlled Presidential and parliamentary elections in which hundreds of Suharto opponents had been arrested and critical newspapers shuttered.

In May, 1984 Vice President George H. W. Bush visited Indonesia as part of a longer trip that included stops in Japan and South Asia. The briefing papers prepared for Vice President Bush highlight the continued focus on commercial and security relations over considerations of human rights. In 1984 the U.S. provided $45 million in credits for foreign military sales (FMS) and $2.5 million in International Military and Educational Training (IMET), “our second largest IMET program worldwide.” Vice-President Bush’s political scene setter notes that “political activity in Indonesia is tightly controlled,” with “no organized political activity” between national elections and opposition forces “dispirited and incapable for the foreseeable future of mounting a direct challenge to his power.”

Vice President Bush’s visit came on the heels of a major Indonesian military offensive in East Timor in which hundreds of civilians were massacred and in the midst of a period of severe repression in Indonesia punctuated by “a government-organized campaign of summary killings of alleged violent criminals” known as the “mysterious killings,” which began in late 1982 and continued through 1984. The U.S. Embassy in Jakarta estimated that the government had summarily executed about 4,000 people, with continued killings reported.

This illustrates the point that the U.S. is comfortable and willing to sleep with any leader of any stripe who grabs the reins of power so long as he maintains a favorable investment climate for U.S. corporations. With loyalty comes accolades – Suharto, the mass murderer and ruthless dictator actually “…put [Indonesia] on the path to prosperity and a large measure of personal freedoms.” We are thankful for him.

US foreign policy is a bloody enterprise operating behind an ideological blind. There is the Suharto/Pinochet/Chicago model, where any amount of bloodshed is for a noble cause, or the Chavez model, where economic improvement for ordinary people leads to contempt and coup d’état. Chavez is helping the wrong people. Though he has killed no one, he can do no right. Suharto and Pinochet, mass murderers, are national saviors.

A Very Long and Tedious Piece

I often go round and round with Dave Budge, but never really confront the issues he raises in a systematic fashion. Usually, I characterize his arguments, and he claims I have mis-characterized, restates, and then again. We recently had a rather long drawn out debate, and he took time at his blog to put up a thoughtful analysis of what he thinks I believe. This is my response.

CAUTION!!! This is not for everyone, but I do invite others to tear it apart. Italics are Dave’s words.

I have asked, repeatedly in fact, that those who believe in various forms of collectivism – from weak to strong – provide me the moral rationale for forcefully taking property from one person and giving it to another. Very rarely have I gotten a sophisticated answer.

The rationale for “forcefully taking property from one person and giving it to another” is in the constitution – we seek to “establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity.” Article 8, Section 1: To lay and collect taxes, duties, imposts and excises, to pay the debts and provide for the common defense and general welfare of the United States.” The constitution was amended in the early 20th century to allow for an income tax.

Income taxation fits the bill – it is forcible confiscation of wealth. Others propose alternatives – national sales taxes and the like – still others propose scaling back government services to the point where taxation to the extent that it exists now would not be necessary. But for so long as we demand the level of service we do – primarily our massive military complex and large social programs, we need to tax incomes.

Dave is a libertarian and conservative, and doesn’t believe in the level of government we have now – in fact, believes that it is a slippery slope that leads to totalitarianism, though that never seems to materialize. It’s an aged argument – that we invite ourselves into bondage by doing good things for ourselves. I look around and see signs of totalitarianism, but not in social programs, but rather from a right wing that is using fear to get us to give up our most basic freedoms. Another day.

In many respects it constitutes the rule of law that we need to provide for an orderly society. In matters of encroachments of personal rights perpetrated by individuals it’s necessarily the fabric of the “social contract.” But at some point the majority will sanction actions by the, removed and third party, government that entirely violate the rights of the minority. With majority support those actions are understood as morally absolute. Then society holds government as religion with a blind acquiescence to colloquial dogma. And we do it with feel good language like “the greater good” – whatever that means.

I challenged Mark Tokarski to use as a criterion to justify various social programs:

… explain to me whether the outcomes of those programs have been:

A) Moral
B) Effective
C) Efficient

On morality he answered:

Morality is a human construct, not given us from without. It is how we decide (what) is good for us, what is not. Some say it’s evolutionary – maybe so. But the greater good is the whole point of moral systems. So some things seem right to individuals – to accumulate without purpose, to refuse to take care of the commons, to refuse to pay a share over for the common welfare. For the greater good we say these people are selfish and short-sighted, and we set our rules in spite of them. (Yes, I’m talking about you.)

This “definition” of morality may have some merit but it cannot be taken as a moral absolute and avoids any discussion of context or moral realism. For example, this was the argument that Truman made in using atomic weapons on Japan. That implies that actions are moral based on a preconceived projection of net positive outcomes. It’s classically embedded in Hume’s “is/ought” problem. An action is considered as “is” good rather than “ought” to be good and consequences are avoided. The problem is that the antecedent supposition is often wrong and it’s arrogant to assume otherwise.

Additionally, Mark’s proposition that accumulation of wealth comes without purpose. But the accumulation of wealth has a great purpose in providing capital which is employed in all economic activity. Even socialism recognizes this but asserts that such accumulation is best held by an egalitarian state. He also makes a bad assumption that those who accumulate wealth “refuse” to pay for the common welfare. This is prattle. Capitalists understand that ensuring some baseline of, as Mill would say, social happiness serves rational self interest. But the economics of doing so not only suffer from diminishing returns but, at some point, turn negative on society as a whole. Additionally, stating that capitalist “refuse” to pay for the common good is an outright canard. The only people that usually take this position are anarcho-capitalists and, as far as I can tell, none of them are captains of industry.

(I mentioned at some point that slavery is “efficient” – lost in the shuffle.)

I leave the morality argument to others. I’m caught up in the idea of greater good. It serves our neighbors well if we don’t raise hogs on our property. Their institution of zoning ordinances restricts my freedom, but the end result is a moral good. Assertion of collective will over individual preferences is at the heart of an orderly society. And as with everything, we don’t debate the fact, but the degree to which we implement the fact.

Here’s a fundamental flaw: Dave confuses the “accumulation of wealth” with creation of wealth, and seems to be saying that accumulation equals creation. It would naturally follow that we can’t have large enterprises without wealth accumulators, ergo we need wealthy people to have an industrial society. That is essentially the Randian premise – I think if you follow it further down the line it will get into the idea of the excellent few making live bearable for the mass of us – Dave calls them “captains of industry”.

I’ve often wondered about this – why we bow to people like John D Rockefeller – he was a wealth accumulator, a man who harvested the bounty from the labor and creativity of others, a man who forcibly drove others out of the marketplace. No hero of mine. Imagine, for a second, a man who has accumulated $1 million. He banks that money, and the bank lends it out to others who invest in new enterprises. Now imagine 1,000 ordinary Joe’s, each of whom have saved $1,000 and have put the money in the bank. Same result. From Rand we get a slavish worship of wealth accumulators and a disdain for ordinary people that is at the heart of Dave’s philosophy. The greatest freedom, the only freedom we have that seems worth fighting for is the right to accumulate. This is where we differ.

Wealth accumulation is, in and of itself, no great accomplishment. Great fortunes like John D’s did a lot of good when he gave it away – the University of Chicago is an outstanding legacy – but while concentrated in one family, created an aristocracy. I don’t value aristocrats. I don’t see any value in passing fortunes from one generation to the next, as without fail there is regression towards the mean. George W. Bush is a prime example, but not the only one. In the end, we are governed by a class of wealthy who have laid claim to the finest educational and cultural upbringing, but who are at their core mediocre. And mediocre leaders fail to inspire and commit huge blunders. Ergo …

Ayn Rand mistook collective genius – the drawing upon each other that provides the synergism that drives human creativity – and laid it all at the feet of a few men. This is, in my view, her greatest mistake – to presume a trickle-down world rather than one in which intelligence and wealth creation are a community product. And it is the investment in community, versus individual estates, that separates those of us on the left from our compatriots on the right. It’s not a few good men, it’s a society.

Accumulation of wealth does indeed happen without purpose, and needs to be routinely undone. There are among us geniuses whose creativity has spawned economic activity and fostered wealth creation, and these geniuses have (and should have) collected great fortunes. But there comes a point … along with the income tax came the idea of progressivity and the estate tax, and the premises of these taxes was based on the concept that Dave disputes, greater good. People saw something happening during the Gilded Age – something that happens naturally in all societies. Huge amounts of wealth were concentrating in a few places. The people who accumulated this wealth were taking control of government in addition to monopolizing free market enterprises. It was decided that huge concentrations of wealth were an anathema to democratic societies.

We don’t want kings and pawns – we wanted an equitable distribution of wealth. We feared aristocracy, and all that it entails, including perpetuation of mediocrity that usually follows great fortunes after the creative genius has passed. For all of these reasons, we decided to tax income, to do so progressively; to tax estates, to do so progressively. Greater good.

You can have extremes of wealth and poverty, or democracy, but not both. Some Supreme Court justice said that.

He (Mark) says:

I leave it to you to explain to me how private greed is really a moral good. I leave it to you to explain to me how personal freedom, in a society where we each depend on the labor of others to survive, can exist without limits.

I think I’ve addressed the issue of why private accumulation of capital is a social moral good. I will not, however, associate greed with capitalism. Lots of people are greedy. Down and out drug addicts are greedy. People who game the entitlement system are greedy. Anyone can suffer from greed. Greed is one of the Seven Sins and I don’t assume it’s a moral good. At the same time I don’t know where anyone has proposed that personal freedom doesn’t have limits. I’d like to know who has said that other than Mark and those who misunderstand tenets of classical liberalism. We’re not free to steal, murder, break contracts, interfere with other’s property, etc.

This is a misunderstanding based on misuse of the word “greed”. It’s something we all share. A better term is “self-interest”. Substitute it in Dave’s paragraph above, and it loses some of its preachiness. Self interest is a natural and wholesome thing, and no one disputes that it is vital and necessary to our existence. And indeed we need to accumulate. But then we go to extremes, and we have John D again, and because we have a necessary and wholesome attribute of human existence working well on a small scale, we say that it must be a good thing on a gigantic scale too. Ergo, John D’s vast accumulation of wealth was a good thing, and breaking up that fortune bad.

It’s the essential difference. There comes a point where wealth accumulation no longer serves the greater good, and we place limits on it. We fear rule by wealth as much as the chaos of no rulers at all.

I have never said that government is a force for ill. What I’ve said is that government is a vehicle for ill. And I can use Mark’s own complaints in showing how society is worse off from government intervention. Let’s just take the tax code for starters.

Why is it fair, assuming codified unfairness is immoral, that the tax code arbitrarily rewards people who work for employers who subsidize health insurance? Why is it fair that homeowners get to write off their mortgage interest while renters don’t. Why is fair that wealthy people can get tax credits for locking up land for their personal use with conservation easements? Why is it fair that parents of young children get a refundable tax credit (which can be used to offset payroll taxes) when others don’t. Why is fair that the central bank can manipulate interest rates on the backs retirees who use CDs for income? And I’m sure if I think about it for a while I can come up with a few hundred more example.

Here we are dissembling into the odd features of the tax code. It’s a mishmash, I’ll grant you, but there is in every feature mentioned above that one thing that Dave even disputes exists: greater good. We want to encourage home ownership – it’s a great way for ordinary Joe’s to save. We want to preserve undeveloped land, so we encourage farmers and ranchers to forego subdividing. We want to help out low income parents by foregoing the payroll tax on their low income stream, and we do so by means of the child care credit (the refundable one is relatively unused – it’s the non-refundable child credit that is most widely used. The non-refundable child tax credit does not offset payroll taxes). Private central banks I don’t know for –

There is much unfairness in the tax code – mostly it is a reflection of who has power, who doesn’t. There is within it right now a hangover from the days when ordinary Joe’s were more influential. But that is on the wane – the tax code has lately been rewritten to favor certain types of income while punishing others, and it reflects the power of wealth accumulators. Capital gains and dividends are especially favored, while secondary favor is bestowed on interest, rents and royalties. Most disfavored are wages and self-employed earnings.

But the heart of the matter is an income tax – Dave doesn’t want it. We disagree.

And if one, such as Mark, asserts that greed is a motivating force then he has to look no further than government’s role in enabling the rent seeking of, say, big energy, big pharma, military suppliers and all that is lobbied for interests he contends are motivated by greed. Why is it that there is a 50 cent import duty on ethanol when we desire to separate our dependence on middle-east oil? The government’s largess is the biggest playground for mischief in the economy and it boggles the mind one who complains about the malfeasance of business doesn’t acknowledge that it’s government that’s the real complicit enabler.

As I said before, the tax code is a reflection of who has power, who doesn’t. We on the left have long recognized that wealthy self-interested people have managed to translate their own self-interest into the public, or greater, good. They can do this because they have undue influence over politicians, and they have undue influence because of the way we structure our campaigns to allow private wealth to supply the money that candidates need to buy media time to diddle people with advertising propaganda. That’s a basic change that we on the left advocate – public financing of political campaigns, that would alleviate many of the ills that Dave describes above. Just one – ethanol – can be laid a the feet of private concerns like Archer Daniels Midlands. Take away their sway over Midwest politicians, and ethanol evaporates.

Quoting me, Dave goes on:

I define a system that seeks equitable distribution of necessary resources for all – necessary resources. I don’t care about TV’s and Twinkies – only health care, education, transportation, basic foodstuffs and utilities. I seek to use government to manage these necessities and see that all have access. A system that only rewards private greed usually leads to a few select getting to best and the majority being ill served. This yields societies as we see in Latin America with enormous poverty and opulent wealth, side by side, no middle.

First, I’m not sure about his definitions of either “equitable” or “necessary.” In the roughly 14% of the population that lives in the lower class most have 2 TV’s, 2 cars, a VCR and Twinkies are eligible foods stuff that can purchased with food stamps. And the irony can hardly go unnoticed that it’s the poor who suffer the most from obesity and disease from poor nutrition (not too little but the wrong type of food) who are the primary beneficiaries of the attempt at an equitable distribution of resources. Government schools are failing the poor and the semi-socialized medical system most harms the less educated working poor with price controls that shift the burden of payment to another cohort. Yet, he uses as an example of capitalism creating economic oligarchy counties where government corruption protects the upper class while he avoids the fact that huge middle classes are being born from places with significant economic freedoms like Taiwan and Singapore. He makes the assumption that it’s capitalism that causes the disparity in wealth while completely avoiding the issue of corruption.

(By the way, an aside, Taiwan gave up private health care and went to a national system, much like Canada and France’s. It’s wildly popular and successful.)

That’s quite a mouthful – I’ll try to break it down. If you travel to Nicaragua, you’ll find that most people there own two or more TV’s. As a measure of wealth, the TV is rather useless. I doubt the prevalence of multiple automobile ownership among the working poor that he cites. American diets are awful, centered as they are around processed foods and burger and pizza factories. Fat and high fructose corn syrup are cheap to produce and affordable to low income people, who aren’t well-versed in diet and exercise. Some government schools are failing their students, mostly in inner cities, and the answer the right wants to promote there – to create a new income stream for private corporations, is fraught with problems of its own.

But notice how this is the only solution he proffers – privatize. Despite the widespread success of well-funded public schools in place like my home town, when schools fail he automatically attacks their funding source. A little creativity in finding solutions to the problems of inner city schools, which translates into problems with blacks integrating into our culture, would be nice.

Mark has a fatal flaw in understanding. I have never, not once in my life, advocated that we don’t have government. But he’s right, as I’ve outlined above, that too much government is exactly the source of a great deal of inequity. As for owing a debt, I can’t speak for who owes whom for what but it is in our best interest to be compassionate and charitable. Mark, like so many on the left, assume that the only fair arbiter of charity is the government. How foolish. Organizations like the Salvation Army and the Red Cross distribute goods and services for about 5% of total resources where the government is significantly less efficient. The centralized decision making in the distribution of scares resources has never in the history of man shown to be either more “fair” or more efficient that million of consumers making choices to which business quickly adapts.

This is a false dichotomy – to presume that I advocate only government as the arbiter of charity. Private charity is healthy and an important part of our society. But it’s not enough. That’s all. If we are left to private charity to take care of our underclasses, we are in the world that Dickens described. Do we really want to go there?

So I will concede, in a limited way that, it is a moral choice to seek an outcome where society strives to provided the greatest good. He makes no coherent argument that the government is the best at doing so and builds a straw man who acts only motivated by greed. And still, he doesn’t make the moral argument for forcibly taking money from one person and giving it to another. But if he’s really interested in it it there are places from which he might start (with whom I have multiple disagreements) – as opposed to his genuinely good heart.

I was instantly drawn to the paragraph that started out “So I will concede”. (His link leads to John Rawls, by the way.) The “straw man” of people motivated by greed merely refers to self-interest and the invisible hand as the greatest arbiter of wealth in societies. The word “greed” is pejorative and should be excised. Self-interest is a nice substitute, but I cannot fathom a society where individual short-term good is the best planning tool for our long term health.

I mentioned at one point (and he disputed) that every government program we have today, for all their inefficiency and ineffectiveness, was put in place to remedy a greater inefficiency that existed in the private sector. Our solutions are imperfect and we could work on remedying that problem were it not for the Ayn Rand problem – the people on the other side of this debate are so extreme that they want to take us back to a time when there was no government help for the poor, when everything was done through the private sector, and government’s only role, to quote Tommy Thompson, was to “protect our shores, deliver our mail, and stay the hell out of our lives.” I’m sure that government mail delivery would go too.

And for the record, I’m not a heartless bastard who doesn’t think we should help the needy. I just question the fairness, efficiency, effectiveness, and wisdom of it being done so by a government that has such a poor history of doing so. No one has ever said that free-markets are fair. What we have said is they are more fair than anything else that has been tried. But Mark seems to think that a few smart people in government can do the job better than a million people working for their own rational self-interest. That’s elitism and arrogance. The striking thing is that the paradigm he proposes has been tried over and over again with such spotty results. One would hope that such “progressives” would look outside of the conventional wisdom for solutions. Unfortunately they don’t.

I mentioned to Dave that his arguments contained false dichotomies, and this paragraph is loaded. Either or. Government fails. Tried and failed. There are plenty of examples where our formulas have succeeded, and places where people share a higher tax burden in exchange for a more comfortable, less extreme society. America is a very uptight place. Western Europe has found a better solution to our frenzied existence, and studies show that people there are happier than us even though they don’t have the extremes of wealth so prevalent here.

But I don’t look to government to solve all problems – just mediate a few of the more persistent ones where the private sector has, throughout recorded history, shown such spotty results. Social Security works. National health care works. Public education works. Private entitlement payments to working age individuals doesn’t work so well and engenders new problems. I don’t have all the answers. Not by a long shot.

Milquetoast and Jelly for Breakfast

Ah Democrats – my favorite subject. We have two choices – one a party of self-interested right wingers infested by maniacal Christian crusaders, the other a party willingly handcuffed and blindfolded. We have to choose between the two. And, Democrat supporters will remind us, we’re always just a little bit better off with the hamstrung party than with the crazed maniacs.

That’s it. Them’s our choices.

The only question that comes to mind is this: Are Democrats really that weak, or are they really not with us. I’ve long suspected the latter. We have a supposedly two-partied system, but both parties draw their support from essentially the same financiers. Wouldn’t it be smart to draw all the honest opposition into a fake party? Isn’t that what Democrats are, essentially? A bunch of fakes?

The latest indication of the leadership creds of Democrats comes from the FISA debate. A Senate Judiciary Committee bill was proposed that would not grant immunity to the telecoms, would hold them open for lawsuit, and expose their activities in cooperating with Bush as he wiretapped us throughout his years in office. The Senate voted to table the bill. That took sixty votes. Not fifty-nine, not sixty-one. To achieve the necessary sixty vote cloture vote, twelve Democrats (who could not be Hillary or Barack) had to defect. So, the following twelve Democrats ‘defected’:

Rockefeller, Pryor, Inouye, McCaskill, Landrieu, Salazar, Nelson (FL), Nelson (NE), Mikulski, Carper, Bayh, and Johnson.

Three are up for reelection, nine not. Only one of the three seats up for election is seriously threatened – Mary Landrieu of Louisiana. Now, answer this question: If they needed thirteen defectors, who among the thirty-six would it have been? Baucus? If they only needed eleven defectors, which one would one of them would have remained cloaked?

And how would Clinton and Obama have voted? We’ll never know, but I think we know.

Of the thirty-six Democrats who voted against tabling, how many are really with us? How many are cloaked? That’s the beauty of this party – beyond Bernie Sanders and Russ Feingold, we never know who to trust.

Here’s a funny: Diane Feinstein is promoting a “compromise” bill that would allow the immunity of the telecoms to be decided behind closed doors by the FISA judges. The predictable result would be immunity, but granted in secret. Why is it that the majority party is the one offering up compromises?

I was listening to radio the other day as a caller, a Democrat, spilled vile and angst over Ralph Nader’s run against Al Gore in 2000. Still angry, still convinced that a Gore presidency would have changed everything. The caller, like so many Democrats, probably wasn’t paying attention during the 1990’s as Bill Clinton and Al Gore governed like Republicans, or that Al Gore himself selected a conservative running mate and ran away from liberal causes.

Nader had a point. But we’re not allowed to make that point. We true liberals are to sit tight as we watch half-assed Republicans lead the Democrat party in complicity with Republican objectives. If we speak up, we are ostracized, demonized, flagellated, roiled and rejected. (How’s that for purple prose?)

I wish there were someone around in 2008 to make Nader’s point again. We don’t have a second party – we have maybe a few who act in genuine opposition to the Republicans, but far too many who merely carry the flag to keep it away from real liberals.

So now we fuss about who is going the be the Democrat nominee. I am eagerly waving my half-staffed flag, appropriate subdued, resigned to being shut out – not by Republicans – but by rightish Democrats and their milquetoasty supporters.

The lesser of evils. Our only choice. And they wonder why we voted for Nader.

We had no choice.

PS Add Ted Kennedy and Tom Harkin to the list of unabashed liberals. I’m sure there are others.

Cyberdisinhibition

I wonder, from time to time, why negative emotions seem to dominate exchanges on blogs and in email. I have a relative who I see once or twice a month – we talk nice and are friendly. But he sends me this awful right wing stuff that makes the rounds, and I respond in a negative fashion. It’s as if we are Jekkyl & Hyde, and it makes me feel weird.

Take this exchange over at mtpolitics.net. Craig was making the point that racism comes in many colors – what followed was negative energy – I try to imagine how the exchange would have happened had each participant been sitting on a dais with a microphone, a moderator presiding.

Anyway, here’s an article from the book “What’s Your Most Dangerous Idea”, edited by John Brockman. It’s a collection of essays solicited from scientists of all stripes.

Cyberdisinhibition
by: Daniel Goldeman, psychologist

The Internet undermines the quality of human interaction, allowing destructive emotional impulses freer rein under specific circumstances. The reason is a neural flake that results in cyberdisinhibition of brain systems that keep our more unruly urges in check. The tech problem: a major disconnect between the way our brains are wired to connect and the interface offered in online interactions.

Communication via the Internet can mislead the brain’s social systems. The key mechanisms are in the prefrontal cortex. These circuits instantaneously monitor you and the other person during a live interaction, automatically guiding your responses so that they are appropriate and smooth and ordinarily inhibiting impulse for actions that would be rude or simply inappropriate – or outright dangerous.

In order for this regulatory mechanism to operate well, you depend on real-time, ongoing feedback from the other person. The Internet has no means of allowing such real-time feedback (other than rarely used two-way audio/video streams). That puts our inhibition circuitry at a loss; there is no signal to monitor from the other person. This results in disinhibition: impulse unleashed.

Such disinhibition seems state specific and typically occurs rarely while people are in positive or neutral emotional states. That’s why the Internet works admirably for the vast majority of communication. Rather, this disinhibition becomes far more likely when people feel strong negative emotions. What fails to be inhibited are the impulses those emotions generate.

(snip)

As with any new technology, the Internet is an experiment in progress. It’s time we considered what other such downsides of cyberdisinhibition may be emerging – and time we looked for a technological fix, if possible.

The dangerous thought: The Internet may harbor social perils that our inhibitory circuitry was not evolutionarily designed to handle.

Shock and Awe! They Lied

The Center for Public Integrity has published a paper claiming that the Bush Administration told 935 lies in the two years leading up the the attack on Iraq in 2003. The lies were told by Bush, Cheney, Rice, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz and Ari Fleisher. Among other things, they lied about Iraq and Al Qaeda, WMD’s, and yellow cake from Niger.

My question is this: Why are they surprised? I was born in 1950 – during my lfietime there have been wars and attacks in Korea, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Iraq (twice), Kosovo, Nicaragua, Panama, El Salvador, Afghanistan, along with countless proxy wars, police actions and covert operations. They lied about every one of them. (Well, not the coverts. Those they don’t talk about at all.)

But as a rule, here’s how government works: They lie, they lie, they lie.

There’s a reason for the lies. We, the American people, are kind of a nuisance. We don’t really know anything, and we are fickle. First we like something, then we change our minds. We generally like wars, but they have to be short and not cost us much. We liked the current war at first, predictably, and just as predictably, turned against it when it got long and invisible coffin rumors surfaced.

Why would they consult us about anything? Do parents consult kids about major decisions?

There are people in government whose job is to manage public opinion. When it is time to go to war, their job is to bring us along. They are public relations specialists, or professional liars. They construct campaigns designed to appeal to our hatred and prejudice. Usually they try to scare us. Sometimes they stage events, like the Gulf of Tonkin affair.

In Gulf War I, George H.W. Bush was actually test marketing reasons for the war. He said it was about jobs. No go. He said it was about oil. No go. He said that Saddam Hussein was the next Hitler. That one worked, so they ran with it. It worked so well, in fact, that they dusted if off and used it again in 2003.

I don’t say all of this to be a downer. There are certain aspects of democratic rule that just don’t work, and leaders following mass opinion is one. We should be so lucky as to have leaders who care about our well being, who only attack other countries to benefit us. But we’re not. They attack for a myriad of unstated reasons, and we are not to know anything about any of them.

Anyway, I suppose the Center for Public Integrity has performed a useful public service here, telling us that government lies and all. What next? Are they going to shock us with stories about how the Pentagon wastes taxpayer dollars? Shock and Awe! I can hardly wait.

Bracing …

It looks like it’s gonna be Black Tuesday for the stock market. Foreign markets were roiling yesterday, the “stimulus” package is seen as a bandaid. Where it will go – who knows.

But we can be thankful at this point in time, anyway, that Social Security was not privatized, and that that program is shielded from the gyrations of the stock market. Senior citizens have some insulation.

Brave New World

Sorry – couldn’t think of a better title. Here’s from a primary voter down south:

SOUTH CAROLINA: First the bad news. I just came back from voting in the SC Republican Primary. All they had was the ES&S electronic voting machines. I asked if a paper ballot was an option and was told, “No”. I told the poll worker I don’t trust these machines and she just smiled. After voting I said do I get a receipt, and the same poll worker actually laughed and said “No”, but I could have a sticker saying “I Voted”. Gee, thanks.

PS: Exit polls for South Carolina in 2004 had Bush winning by a 7.1% margin. The electronic vote gave Bush a 17.1% margin – a full 10% red shift.

A Working Class Tax Cut?

There is debate going on right now over an economic stimulus plan to revitalize our sputtering economy. It makes sense – but they really ought to consider putting some money in the hands of people who will spend it. That would be the WalMart workers, the UPS drivers, the guy who fixes your plumbing and the lady who watches your kids so your spouse can work. Most of these people are double-taxed, once for income, and again for the “payroll tax”, a weird non-name that really means “wage penalty”.

So Senator Charles Schumer, an on-again off-again DLC liberal, has taken a stand for a tax cut for ordinary working people.

If we did the rebate based on the payroll tax, it would hit a lot more people at a lower end of the spectrum. And so to just say income taxes are the only taxes we’re considering that people pay is unfair…”

It’s a good debate to have, and it would be good to raise awareness about who pays taxes and gets no credit – working stiffs. Too bad it has to be Democrats doing our bidding – it’s like trying to stand up atop a tub of Jello, but what are our choices?

Here’s my favorite comment, from Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who said Bush “is focused on broad-based tax relief for those who are paying taxes.” You have to decode a bit – you see, the payroll tax is not considered a tax. He’s saying that any tax rebate should go only to those who pay regular income taxes, and not for payroll taxpayers. That’s how they did it in 2001 and 2003. It means 22 million families on the low end won’t see tax relief.

I’m betting here that Paulson is born into money and doesn’t know that his housekeepers and gardeners probably pay tax at a higher rate than he does. Just presuming a bit here, but I’ll bet he thinks the current zero starting tax rate on capital gains and dividends is fair, and that a 39% tax on middle class wage earners is too.

Like Rodney Dangerfield, working folks just can’t get no respect in DC. But Schumer is speaking out. Let’s hope he stands his ground, and that a few more Democrats join with him.

Overlooked in the Heat of Campaigning

Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone reminds us of the essentials of presidential politics, not covered at all by the media:

Stripped of its prognosticating element, most campaign journalism is essentially a clerical job, and not a particularly noble one at that. On the trail, we reporters aren’t watching politics in action. The real stuff happens behind closed doors, where armies of faceless fund-raising pros are glad-handling equally faceless members of the political donor class, collecting hundreds of millions of dollars that will be paid off in very specific favors over the course of the net four years. That’s the real high-stakes poker game in this business, and we don’t get to sit at the table.

Aging Rockers

I feel my joints ache when I read stuff like this, from Rolling Stone Magazine In Brief notes, 1/24/08:

Paul McCartney reportedly underwent heart surgery last September in London. The singer, 65, opted for the “routine” angioplasty after complaining of feeling ill, an unidentified source told the Sun. A spokesman for McCartney declined to comment.

Stephen Stills underwent a successful operation for prostate cancer on January 3rd at a Los Angeles hospital. The singer, who just wrapped up and Australian tour with Crosby, Stills and Nash, is expected to make a completely recovery and is planning to launch a solo tour this spring.