The photo above is that of Pope Leo XIV. The scepter he holds in his left hand is known as the Papal “ferula”. Coming as I do from a deeply Catholic family I can tell you that the Catholic Church works very hard on the concept of infallibility, that is, that when the Pope speaks on certain matters, he is correct and there can be no disputing the matter. I come from a different era than most people, and am now older than 83% of the American population. I went to grade school at a time when Catholic doctrine was held as sacred. Our school, even though regular buses were available, invested in its own so that we would not mix with public school kids. They took their job of indoctrination of youth seriously.
“When I was a child, I spoke like a child, I thought like a child, I reasoned like a child. When I became a man, I gave up childish ways.” 1 Corinthians 13:11
Sadly, judging by some extended family members and having attended a couple of class reunions, the hold that the Catholic Church has on people my age is still firm. But as an adult and capable of rational thinking, I know that there is no such thing as infallibility. The Pope is just a man, the President is just a man, in reality, actors. But their public role is to project certainty.
I spent the last couple of days writing a post that will never see light of day. I was triggered by an assertion made by the IPCC AR6 (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 6th Assessment Report finalized in March of 2023) that states that the Earth is now absorbing heat from the Sun at the rate of .79 (.52-1.06) watts per square meter (W/m2) in the measurement period 2006-2018, where formerly AR5 (1971-2006) claimed that at that time Earth was absorbing solar energy at the rate of .50 (.32 – .69) W/m2. If true, that would represent an increase of .29 W/m2, or 58% over a period of twelve years, truly alarming.
It is not true, but the IPCC wants to project a papal-like certainty with its pronouncements, so it asserts with authority. Do we grant it that authority? I do not. Most people don’t even think like that. Only a minority know that IPCC exists, and fewer than that give it any credence.
Here’s what I know for sure:
- If the planet is getting warmer, it is doing so only slowly and modestly. Here in the Southwest region of the US, for the period 1919 to 2018, a trend measured as the highest monthly high temperature per year show that our region has warmed by .19°F per decade, or 1.9°F over 100 years. That is not even perceptible on human skin.
- The Earth goes through periods of warming and cooling, and our best method of measuring this is via ice cores taken from Antarctica and Greenland. Below is a 10,000 year record of temperatures from Greenland.
- Pay particular attention to the far right of that graph, where you will see a particularly cold period called the Little Ice Age. That was not a good time to be alive, as growing seasons were often shortened, crops often failed and people starved.
- We did not escape the LIA in total until about 1860 or so, and Earth has been warming ever since. That little red line at the far right represents our Modern Warm Period. It is a good time to be alive, as we’ve enjoyed modest warming now for 166 years. Agriculture is booming, food is plentiful.
- But take note: We are not as warm as it was in the Minoan, Roman, or Medieval Warm Periods. Our temperatures now, at least according to ice sheets (which measure presence of different oxygen isotopes), are modestly warming, but not dangerously so.
So why does the IPCC have its panties in such knots? Honestly, it should have a sign over its door that says
ABANDON SCIENCE ALL YE WHO ENTER HERE
IPCC is not a science enterprise. It is there for the purpose of spreading propaganda. Sometime around 1987, with the Club of Rome somehow an instigator, a new movement was rolled out called “Global Warming”, since changed to “Climate Change”. As a planet as a whole we have a hierarchical structure with ruling class in place that runs all of our affairs, but only quietly. If you doubt that, think back to 2020 and the onset of Covid, where there was no virus, no unusual deaths, but an entire planet locked down and put in a State of Fear.
You might ask, what kind of power can do that? It is hidden power to be sure, and we can only judge its strength by its manifestations. That every church, sporting event, and even family gatherings were shut down shows power. That the entire world was wearing masks shows power. That every news outlet spouted the same propaganda shows that we have no meaningful public information system.
Climate Change is the same forces behind the scenes at work, but much less effectively. Fortunately, with the matter of temperatures, we can all stick our heads out our windows and see that nothing as changed, and that we are not in danger.
So what is the meaning of the measurement of a 58% increase in absorption of W/m2 over twelve years? Nothing, zilch, zippo. There’s a rule in science, and we still have some real scientists at work, that we cannot accurately measure systems that are not in equilibrium. We don’t know the temperature of the planet or the oceans, and therefore do not know how much solar radiation we are absorbing or how much it has changed over time.
IPCC, however, expects that its pronouncements are infallible, like the Pope’s. They are not.
I just read a scientific paper saying as much, that the means by which IPCC gathered the data to make that assertion are bogus. I was going to write about that, but it was too dense for me, over my head. I’ll link it here, and you can decide. That link is to a 34-page paper, but reading the abstract on pages one and two should get you by.
Of course the IPCC, and leading scientists all dispute those findings. So does AI. I did have a long conversation with AI on the matter, and when it told me that there is a scientific consensus that says the paper is wrong, I asked if “consensus” is part of the scientific method. Here’s what it told me:
Scientific consensus is not a formal step within the scientific method, but rather a natural outcome of the scientific process. It emerges when a large body of independent, high-quality evidence from multiple lines of inquiry converges on the same conclusion, leading the majority of qualified experts in a field to agree.
If you know how to interpret gibberish, then you can tell that AI is saying that consensus is not part of the scientific method, but then again, it is.
Piece of Mindful 
I’m pretty sure only middle class to upper middle class people in America and Europe really care about climate change. The way I think about it is even if it were true, it shows a laziness on their part that humans can’t adapt to the situation. Birds migrate and fly thousands of miles routinely. Humans likely used to migrate large distances seasonally to follow the food, like the seacoast in winter, and inland in summer when game was more plentiful. So now humanity is imperiled if we lose a few feet of coastline? Gimme a break. Canada and Russia are giant landmasses with huge reserves of fresh water and resources, which would be verdant and like the mid Atlantic coast if things warmed up. So the fear is totally unjustified.
LikeLike
And aside from trying to get people to not have kids, climate change was invented as an energy scam. So my wife had one of those home energy audits done on our home last week, by the electric supplier. I just use oil heat, and have a really nice German built boiler that is about 10 years old and built to last. So this audit says we have great insulation, but they recommend we switch to a heat pump and install a whole house climate control system. Now I don’t have central AC, and just throw an AC in the window on each floor during the summer, and use them only when I need it, which is only about 4 weeks total in the year since I am in central Mass. and a rural cool location. It’s totally unnecessary for me to have central AC, and the costs for replacement of a compressor are outrageous. Bottom line the electric company wants me to rip out a perfectly good heating system that has worked well for me for 10 years, and install a whole house heat pump that runs just on electricity. Which means they are trying to monopolize the energy supply, and when the shit hits the fan they can hit you with outreagous prices, and make tens of thousands in install costs. Because they say you should “get off fossil fuels” with an oil burner and switch to just grid based solutions. No thanks.
LikeLike
Climate change, like over population, along with a list to numerous to waste my time writing out here, is complete and utter bullshit. The worst part is when some self righteous moron wants to discuss it, like it’s real. I’ve learned to smile, snicker and walk away.
LikeLike
I meant to add, but didn’t, that IPCC claims that while we are not feeling the heat increase brought about by more absorbation of solar radiation on land (despite media hype, as with António Guterres, UN. Secretary General stating in 2023 that the planet is “boiling”*, that most of us don’t feel it, and aware of this, IPCC says this heat is being trapped in the oceans. That is why they go to such lengths to claim a rising warming ocean, all of it false. As the late Patrick Michaels, noted denier, said, this is the IPCC’s way of saying “the dog ate my homework.”
*There was a heat spike around that time caused by the eruption of underwater volcano Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai near New Zealand, which released an ungodly amount of water vapor into the stratosphere in January of 2022. It took a couple of years to dissipate. Water vapor, and not CO2, is indeed a greenhouse gas. CO2 is a but a tool they use to attack use of fossil fuels, our lifeblood, but its effects are minor at best.
LikeLike
The IPCC comes across as an advanced George Costanza “Human Fund” organization. Kinda like Klaus Schwab’s World Economic Forum. Somehow the founders get government and corporate grants so over the years these entities become a powerful corporate powerhouses. Offices and meetings all over the world and you can check out the staff in the people profiles. Appears they have many volunteers as well. There is a large amount of reading if one cares to venture into that world, the interactive atlas map is kinda outdated:
https://www.ipcc.ch/
I always that the scepter were walking canes as the Popes are older. Guess it’s just a prop.
LikeLike
Right you are, that it is just a prop. Add to that another prop, the hat shaped like the head of an erects penis. Is that sublime? Is it just me? What hidden message does it transmit?
However, in fairness, the idea of celibacy should be understand to offer a safe refuge for homosexual men and women. They’ve not been treated well in history, and had good reason to hide away. .
LikeLike
The miter is a fish head and references all the way back to Ionnes, the sea/fish king that brought civilization to primitives back pre-Egypt or some such. Like Shakespeare, for example, ALL of Xtianity is a collage of pre-cooked gruel.
LikeLike
Age of Pisces (the fish) to be followed by Aquarius.
LikeLike
Sea fish kings or the Phoenicians as MM would say? Pope Leo, especially his younger photos look similar to actor Bob Goldthwait. The Catholic school in my area always required uniforms for the students, although that no longer applies they still have a dress code to follow. Most of the successful business men belong to Knights of Columbus. Which in the past i’m sure fraternity organizations were forbidden. Some people wake up and get away from their religious upbringings. All these churches and clergy went along with the Covid hoax, people were required to mask up. They should have been the ones publicly speaking against it. Then we look at the large amounts of forgivable loans to churches and businesses, so the reason they didn’t is clear now.
LikeLike
I joined the KC, and dammit it if they didn’t make me treasurer. That got old in a hurry and I quit. It was set up as an alternative to Freemasonry, as the Masons must swear oaths and Catholics were not allowed to swear oaths. But I think they dropped all of that. In fact, I’d be surprised if the Pope and most of the bishops and priests were not Freemasons. The Church has its secret societies too.
One of the duties of Knights of Columbus was to protect priests. I told my older brother about that, as he was a priest. He looked at me quizzically, as in WTF? Protect me from what, exactly?
[Just looked it up. Catholics are not allowed to be Freemasons.]
LikeLike
Yes thats correct. One of my best friends joined the KOC, and is very Catholic. He actually formally de-oathed himself from his college fraternity in a letter to their national chapter because he was so upset at the thought he might be a freemason and KOC at the same time. As the college fraternities, I have mentioned in the past, are certainly part of the masonic system.
LikeLike
To throw some space junk into the mix, I noticed on my Facebook feed they were talking about Voyager passing through a 150,000 Celsius wall at the edge of the solar system (this is what the Facebooks article says, below it’s only 50,000 C) As we were talking before about the shenanigans of the moon landings, they are claiming this craft built 50 years ago, can survive those temperatures, measure those temperatures, and like the Energizer bunny it still has battery power, when here on Earth you still need to plug in an electric car after several hours use. Just awful lies.
NASA’s Voyager Spacecraft Finds a 50,000-Kelvin “Wall” at the Edge of Our Solar System
LikeLike
I spent some time looking at the Greenland ice cores temperatures. Frankly, it looks like random noise. If they are using smoothing, it can obscure the noise, and make look like the random errors look like real spikes.
LikeLike
You need to share the source rather than your observations. Ice cores were available to Mann when he contrived his hockey stick, but he instead chose tree rings, which vary widely. I suspect his reason was the ability to choose ring sets that advanced his objective, now known as the Hockey Stick. McIntyre and McKittrick noted that the same defective sets kept appearing in the reconstruction of the original and the supposed validation by successors. His was indeed science fraud. You appear to impute the same on ice cores.
The concept behind ice cores is simple, the appearance of oxygen isotopes 16 and 18, with sixteen appearing more in colder regions than 18. This same phenomenon appears outside of ice cores in simply differing climates, more 16 in say Iceland than 18, and the reverse at the equator.
The question then is one of interpretation, and for that it is necessary to bring in other evidence, and there is indeed collaborating evidence from independent worldwide sources that it was indeed warmer in the NH during Minoan, Roman and Medieval times, and plenty of supporting data to support a Little Ice Age. Smoothing can indeed be used to support fraud, but prior to Mann et al and the warming hoax, fraud was not motivated by any outside forces. But the Climategate emails exposed fraud, Mann deliberately attempting to eliminate the Medieval Warm Period, as he was attempting by fraud to insinuate that we live in the hottest times on record, and MWP was simply inconvenient.
I encountered the same forces at work when looking at data regarding wildfires in the lower 48. The National Interagency Wildfire Agency purged all of its data prior to 1983, one of the lowest burn years on record, thereby eliminating the period 1930-1950, much hotter than now, with wildfires five times more in acreage. Their stated reason was that the earlier data was unreliable, when in fact it was merely inconvenient. The result, it appears with out earlier data that wildfires are dangerously on the increase, aka science fraud.
LikeLike
Story goes cosmic rays make the heavy isotopes. Story also goes that o 18 detection use the 50s as a marker. Cause of nuke tests and shite. Carbon dating is really fun but a different story of course.l
LikeLike
What i meant to say was there indeed could be warmer and colder periods as Mark suggests, but the overall trend is completely flat, suggesting long term, at least the tens of thousands of years there is data, demonstrate the earth’s temperature remains constant, and will return to its normal temperature after a perturbation. Probably solar flux?
LikeLike
In a similar vein, we have maps here of Montana and Colorado made of plastic showing the mountainous west and prairie east. The context is stark, and if accurate, the Colorado fourteeners would be the Colorado hundred thousanderers. I don’t doubt that the planetary temperatures taken as a whole vary little, but it does not take much to create an Ice Age, and we know well that civilization made great strides forward at various times, and was static at other times, for instance, that time once called the “Dark Ages.”
Our current interglacial time period, the Holocene, came in like a lion 12-15,000 years ago, and all of the land-based glaciers melted, Greenland and Antarctica shrunk, Arctic ice disappeared, sea levels rose by 400 feet. We have geologic evidence to support this, and that in mind, our current age, still an ice age, supports massive land based glaciers in slow retreat as we exit the Holocene and enter the next Ice Age.
LikeLike
Just for perspective, the above two graphs show the exact same data.
LikeLike