12 logical fallacies unmasked in the use of the terms “conspiracy theory” and “conspiracy theorist”

Note to readers: Petra is not associated with this blog in any way other than to be an occasional commenter. I asked her a while back if she would allow me to reprint some of her work, and she agreed. This piece from July of last year is long, so park yourself or read it in increments. It incorporates everything I have thought (and much more) about the events of 9/11/2001 in a logical fashion with links to everything. That’s far more work than I can or want to do.

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PETRA LIVERANI

“I know that most men, including those at ease with problems of the greatest complexity, can seldom accept even the simplest and most obvious truth if it be such as would oblige them to admit the falsity of conclusions which they have delighted in explaining to colleagues, which they have proudly taught to others, and which they have woven, thread by thread, into the fabric of their lives.” – Leo Tolstoy

“People can be extremely intelligent, have taken a critical thinking course, and know logic inside and out. Yet they may just become clever debaters, not critical thinkers, because they are unwilling to look at their own biases.” – Carole Wade

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A National Review-Inspired Post

I just noticed an issue of National Review in which I had left several flags to re-review later. The issue is July of 24, and all of the flags landed between pages 14 and 15. I am not going to repeat their writing here, though it is surely better than mine. I just want to react to their words.

The AR-15. I am going to repeat what my son-in-law told me years ago. He drew a picture of a basic 22-caliber rifle, and then attached a long handle to it, and maybe a telescope. But the key to the matter of the weapon being dangerous or misused was this: It is not automatic. One press of the trigger releases one round of ammunition. Holding the trigger down will not fire more rounds. The impression that people have from the news is that the AR-15 is a machine gun, but machine guns are illegal.

NR reviewed a Washington Post compilation of its multi-stage investigation of the AR-15, citing a former colleague Kevin D. Williamson that the WaPo series is “scientifically illiterate, error-ridden, propagandistic, and willfully misleading.” NR notes that WaPo even confused bullet velocity with rate of fire. WaPo, of course, won a Pulitzer for the series, as the AR-15 is a popular target for the left.

Caitlin Clark of the University of Iowa scored more points in basketball than any other player, male of female, in NCAA history. She will be paid $76,535 as the number one pick of the Indiana Fever. The WNBA makes about $200 million in annual revenue, compared to $10 billion for the NBA. NR uses this opportunity to take a shot at unions in general, sports unions in particular. They conclude that Clark’s $28 million shoe deal with Nike along with many other endorsements only goes to show that unions reward mediocrity, while markets reward excellence. Actually, I side with NR on this matter.

MIT will no longer require diversity statements from potential faculty hires. I was not aware of the practice, of course, but find such statements, along with other virtue signals (like public apologies) to be degrading. I think it is perfectly all right for a human being to be prejudiced in some manner, as in believing that blacks are not as smart as whites. It’s such a general belief that cannot be disproven, but eventually as we age and if we pay attention to the world around us, we will find so many exceptions as to force the belief to be abandoned. It’s a complicated world. 

The Boy Scouts of America have changed its name to “Scouting America”, this to allow for new policies such as allowing gays to be troop leaders and to welcome girls who identify as boys to belong. I don’t care about any of that. I think that forcing children to wear uniforms is not cool, and robs them of individuality, or at least attempts to do so. But I did once belong to Boy Scouts, for a short while. Two things made me quit: One, a disapproving look from my older brother, whom I idolized, as I put on my BSA uniform one night prior to going to a meeting. The other was a meeting where the scoutmaster said we should conclude the evening by playing games. He asked for suggestions, and I ever the smart ass said “How about ring around the rosie?” Later one of the big shot older scouts took me aside and warned me that “We don’t talk like that around here.” I think I just faded away from scouting, with no encouragement to continue from any quarter, for which I am grateful. 

AI dating apps for women: I have never used an app to get a date, mostly because when I last dated before meeting my wife, 29 years ago, there were none. I simply found someone I liked and asked her out. Since almost all relationships eventually fizzle on their own, I would suggest that my success rate was about as high as anyone currently swiping left or right on Tinder. NR’s take is that it used to be common for parents to find a spouse for their children, which, oddly, is mostly not frowned upon and is still practiced in much of the world. I will close with NR’s poignant final words on the subject:

“[We’re now] in an era of online porn and loneliness. If AI can make sense of modern dating, we’ll have to admit it can do something humans can’t.” 

Epoch Times … and other matters

We subscribe to Epoch Times, the paper newspaper. Even so, I immediately delete almost all of their emails, as they stack up and are mostly about Trump, and are mostly unread by me. They contain a lot of tease headlines, as in “shocking” news and court rulings and such. I regard Trump as a false leader, put in place to prevent the rise of a real one, not that I see any on the horizon. I was shocked to find out the guy is 78 years old – Reagan’s age was an issue when he was elected – he was 70 at the time. Biden was 78, now 82. What are we, the geriatric republic? (Asked the 74-year-old.)

But then I realize that at that level they don’t count votes. It’s all a dog and pony show. Trump might go to jail, we are told, perhaps creating an insurrection, another January 6, if you will. If sentenced he might have to move to Santa Catarina.

I dropped my subscription to Epoch Times maybe a year ago, and then my wife said she enjoyed it. I called them to reinstate the subscription, and they said it had never been cancelled. I regard that as an excellent customer retention program.

Often enough ET will run a story that resonates with me, such as Climate Change being a hoax – this week they had no less than three stories that grabbed:

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An invented man … or … one given a new identity?

Last month we were on Long Island walking through graveyards searching for my wife’s relatives. There were 19 cemeteries, and that was a pared back list. It took several days. As we finished up with one cemetery [Babylon Rural] I noticed off in the corner a recent addition (most of these cemeteries go back centuries) and so checked it out.

Note: It is all by itself. Most people prefer burial with other family members – in fact, that is most of what we saw in the cemeteries we visited – family plots. The fact that this grave is in a detached corner with boundary fences behind it indicates that Timothy’s family were not too particular about where he was buried. Off in a corner all by himself is a little undignified.

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A very nice podcast

I listened yesterday (could not put it down) to Conan O’Brien’s interview of Ron Howard, Opie, Richie Cunningham, that guy. Just a few highlights:

  • Howard’s father was an actor, though not famous. He was also present during filming of the Andy Griffith Show, a 1960s-70s hit show. His son played Opie Taylor, who was five years old at the time. At one time his dad approached the writers and suggested to them that they were writing the Opie character as kind of a smart ass, snarky as we would say today, a future Ferris Buehler. He suggested to them that it would be a better show if Opie was a good kid who admired and respected his father. They changed the writing style for Opie, and it worked. 
  • Andy Griffith cautioned all the actors not to try to be funny, do not go over the top and for the big laugh. The South, he said, was funny all by itself, and did not need help. All of the humor of the show was the natural tone set by the actors, especially Don Knotts, who played Barney Fife. 

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WordPress woes

If you think that you as readers and commenters have trouble with WordPress, so do I. I had a couple of typos I wanted to fix in the piece below, and so called it up for edit, fixed them, and then WP offered me not “Update” but instead “Publish”, but I thought it was normal and pushed the button. The new piece now sat on top of the old, but all comments and likes had been stripped. I was able to recover the original from trash, make the fixes and then not “update” but rather “publish” one more time, but this time the comments and likes were intact.

Each time I did that a new email went out to the blog followers, who if they still follow the blog wonder what in the hell is going on, the same post being republished three times. Me too.

Now to publish a comment, since I have been involuntarily signed out of my own blog, I must reenter my login info, even as every time I do that I tell it to keep me signed in. I’d like to move this blog to a new venue, but fear 1) censorship (WordPress leaves us alone) 2) my own ineptitude that might destroy the thousands of posts, one or two of them pretty good, that reside here.

I am open to suggestions.

Science class is cancelled today

 

The above three men are, left to right, Michael Mann, Keith Briffa (1952-2017), and Phil Jones. All three worked in or for the Climate Research Unit (CRU) at East Anglia University in Norwich, England when in 2009 there was a major leak of internal emails, a scandal now referred to as “Climategate”. Over the years, by means of whitewash and lack of media coverage, the subject of Climategate has been minimized if not forgotten, and the people at its center exonerated.

I do not exonerate them.

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Ethically challenged “scientists” can say anything they want without repercussions

While on our recent trip back east, I had plenty of time (plane flights, evenings in motels) to do some very intense reading. I chose a book by A.W. Montford, a British writer and proprietor of the Bishop Hill blog. Prior to leaving on our trip, I deliberately avoided reading the book in question, The Hockey Stick Illusion, subtitled Climategate and the corruption of science. My objective in reading this book (which has so many post-it flags on it that it might fly away on me) was to come to grips with the science behind not just the Hockey Stick, but climate change as a whole. I have the distinct impression that climatologists are given carte blanche to say or publish anything that crosses their minds, without fear of fact-checking or follow-up.

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Oops! There goes travelogue guy again …

We’ve been traveling for over a week now, Wilmington, Delaware (as opposed to Wilmington, North Carolina), and Long Island.

In Wilmington I have a cousin and her spouse, two very gracious hosts who put up with us for four nights until we left via Uber for a flight out of Philadelphia. During our time there we saw much of the DuPont estate as enhanced by various stewards, the most remarkable that of Pierre, who in the 1930s opened his estate (Longwood) to the public. The whole area is beautifully managed, flowers and trees of every imaginable variety. We walked in the rain among the vegetation and fountains, barely aware of the precip.

Most impressively, left behind at Longwood is a pipe organ of massive size, surely among the largest in the world. There are more than 10,000 pipes varying in size from less than a pencil to six inches in girth. The instrument can reproduce sounds from a bass drum to a very high pitched piccolo. We were treated to a concert put on by the controlling computer. Once every year organ players of all levels of talent are given five minutes each on the beast. My cousin, an accomplished organ player, has not taken advantage, but she should. While at their home she treated us to Andrew Lloyd Weber’s Memories from the stage play Cats, and did not miss a note. Her husband gave us a polonaise, a complicated Chopin piano piece played with intensity and great skill. I watched as his eyes, half closed, guided his fingers racing up and down the keyboard, all without benefit of sheet music. (He is also an accomplished trumpet player.)

Last Saturday we attended a concert by the Philadelphia Orchestra, some unusual pieces by way of intro, and then the Fifth Symphony by Finland’s Jean Sibelius. I suggested we attend, hoping for a rendition of Finlandia, often proposed to be Finland’s national anthem, but no such piece was played. The Fifth we were treated to was gripping, with several interludes of great power from the entire orchestra at once. My cousin and her husband had more in-depth criticism than I can manage. I can only say I was moved.

Our Uber drive to Philadelphia Airport was early morning, and I sat in the front seat with the driver. The night before at a pizza joint I watched bits and pieces of the Phillies vs the Marlins, so I broached the subject, and for the entire trip we talked sports. He knew not only Phillies and Eagles, but Packers, Broncos, and even some Cincinnati Reds. Make note when in Philly, it is a rabid sports town, so that you’ll never be at a loss for words if you know even a bit of the Philadelphia teams. (We did not cover the Flyers.)

That morning we flew to LaGuardia, and the next four days were spent doing family business, which leads to my sitting here at Aloft, a hotel run by Marriott, waiting for a shuttle to LaGuardia. My impressions of Delaware, Pennsylvania and Long Island: Lush vegetation and birds. Northern Long Island is especially charming, narrow roads through beautiful well-kept-up homes with views of Long Island Sound. As we moved closer to LaGuardia, the buildings got more run down, and where we are staying, the streets are lined with litter. Many of the hotel staff know no English, not that they should, so it is a veritable Tower of Babble.

That’s New York, a mixed bag from lush wealth and beauty to run down areas where the native language is a mixed bag. Our first morning here was in Flushing, and the population is largely Chinese, strong and accomplished people who are a credit to our melting pot, a work in progress.

Back today to Colorado and our high-elevation life, Douglas Firs and aspen and very little in the way of bird variety save a few migrants passing through on their way to the Boreal Forrests of Canada. Each place has its unique charm. Ours only lacks the persistent precipitation seen here. We get our share, and what the ground does not absorb makes its way to Denver reservoirs. Without them, Denver would still be a small remnant of a gold rush town.