World population trends, 2025

“Covid” was a disease the symptoms of which were indistinguishable from ordinary influenza, and remarkably, as Covid deaths escalated during those years, influenza deaths virtually disappeared. Far be it from me to comment on obvious connections, but it appears to me that

  1. SARS-CoV-2, the supposed virus that supposedly caused Covid, does not exist.
  2. The “pandemic,” which was announced to the world on 3/11/2020, was not real, and had to be sustained by means of illusion, misdirection, and fakery.
  3. One of the keys to maintaining the illusion of a pandemic was real and spreading was the idea of the “asymptomatic carrier”, that is, a person who carries the disease, spreads it, but carries no symptoms.
  4. The key to identifying asymptomatic carriers was the PCR test. Anthony Fauci said point blankly that we must “test, test test”, for the disease, most likely knowing in his black and evil heart that he was merely describing the means by which an illusory pandemic would spread.

So it is that I say that on this date I happen to know the exact number of pandemic deaths: Zero. Nobody died of Covid, but testing and certification were done based on the PCR, so that anyone who died within 45 days of a Covid test was considered to have died of Covid. I just asked AI about Covid deaths, as I wanted to be lied to good and hard, and learned that worldwide, as of today, 7,099,773 people died, and in the US, 1,226,890.

Macrotrends is a company that does work for the United Nations on population trends, and I wrote about their work in 2022, when CDC was telling us that people were dying at very high rates. Macrotrend data said otherwise, as noted in the following table:

The “Death Rate” is the number of people dying each year per 1,000, and the growth rate refers to the death rate, which from 2018-2022 declined from 1.22% to 1.09%. Odd to see such a thing during a pandemic, but Macrotrends offers the following caveat:

NOTE: All 2020 and later data are UN projections and DO NOT include any impacts of the COVID-19 virus.

That’s really odd, that a company whose only job is to monitor population trends opts to exclude the largest factor affecting population trends at a time when that factor was at its peak. This requires some analysis, and my take is this: Macrotrends was allowed to go about its business, but outside power sources forced them to add that disclaimer.

More recent Macrotrend data does indeed show death peaks and the like in 2021 and 2022, and indeed I am aware of certain spikes in certain types of death: Those for elderly people suffering from pneumonia and influenza who were placed on ventilators. Survival rate after ventilation was 2.8% for people over 65 in New York City. The following is from AI, which I am finding a source that repeats all the lies of our times with such ease that I think of it now as even less honest than Wikipedia:

Early in the pandemic, reports from New York City indicated high mortality rates among patients placed on ventilators, with figures cited around 76.4% for patients aged 18 to 65 and 97.2% for those over 65. Other sources noted that 80% or more of coronavirus patients on ventilators in New York City had died. These statistics reflect the severity of illness in patients requiring mechanical ventilation rather than proving that ventilation caused death.

No mention by AI of the fact that hospital attendants were scared of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, and were willy nilly putting people on ventilation even when an oxygen clip would serve as well. So indeed, we did experience death spikes during Covid, and just as AI refused to correlate those spikes to anything other than Covid, I refuse to accommodate AI by admitting that the deaths were caused by Covid at all.

I have said from early in the pandemic, which I knew to be fake from the beginning, that the ultimate goal in all of the draconian measures taken (lockdowns, distancing, quarantines, masking, outlawing public gatherings), all discretionary and completely unfounded in any science, was to instill fear and frustration in people. They wanted to create such pressure for return to normal life that on announcement of vaccines, there would be a WalMart-like Black Friday stampede to inoculate.

How many people fell for it? Most, I would say, but we don’t know, really. They lie about everything, so that too probably. This introduces me, however, to a study on world population trends published in July of 2025 indicating that growth is coming to a halt now, as we speak, here in 2025. I tend to trust this study, which uses the least squares technique in regression analysis to find a good fit for a line, historically in this case. Take a look at the table that is based on this analysis:

What they are demonstrating here is that prior to projecting future trends, they are able to do the same for the past. That’s critical, as accurate models of the past are needed before we can offer any faith on future projections. Based on these trends, we are now told that world population is at its peak, right now. Projections for world population growth (shrinkage), are as follow:

  • 2000: 6.09 billion

  • 2025: 7.07 billion

  • 2030: 7.01 billion

  • 2035: 6.86 billion

  • 2040: 6.64 billion

  • 2045: 6.34 billion

Prior to now predictions of world population trends have been all over the chart, from 28 billion people by 2150,to a medium variant of 11.5 billion by 2075 to a low variant of 7 billion by 2050 before a decline would naturally set in. No one saw this coming.

What caused it? Dr. Robert McAllister, who is the heavily credentialed guy who compiled the analysis above, offers up the usual suspects, such as lower fertility in wealthy countries, urbanization and availability of family planning. He does not mention the vaccines.

But I do.

By the way, AI tells me that the population of the planet today, September 16, 2025, is 8,245,570,647, which throws everything above out the window. I don’t trust AI, and I don’t know what the world population is, but in the long list of sources I value in finding this information, I place AI at #33, right behind Bill Nye, the Science Guy, 32nd. I suspect nobody knows other than in broad mathematical and statistical analyses, and I also know we are lied to every day about every matter of importance, so I suggest you take this article and chuck it. Truth is, I don’t know anything about world population. The numbers are larger than my limited brain can fathom.

Aren’t you glad you read this far?

50 thoughts on “World population trends, 2025”

  1. Mark, good column. Have you considered that world population is also greatly exaggerated? I don’t know if I believe it, but some suggest population is closer to 2 billion.

    In any case I believe population indeed is likely at its peak. There is so much pressure on new parents (money, vaccines, the future?) that it kills off the idea of having a large family for most. I am frankly surprised, and also heartened, that people continue to raise children in this empire of lies.

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    1. I have no idea of the planet’s population, but I have seen these pieces about people taking a place like New York and adding the populations of the largest cities, top to bottom, and not coming up,with anything near the population of the state.

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  2. Do you remember.. some of the stats we were getting early on, like from NYC, later changed radically. Ie, if trends continued, spread and mortality would be much worse than it ended up being, in other places. Now that could be false numbers, or it could be that the early treatment recommendations, such as vents, were much more draconian, and docs there had had less time to absorb what was going on, and were hit harder by the first wave of uncertainty and fear, etc. But it could also be that they really were seeing a spike in patients admitted – not with covid, but maybe people detoxing from some localized agent. That would be a way to drive genuine panic in many docs, and convince them it was really real, unlike anything they’d ever seen, and spread hysteria through their networks of docs they know (in addition to those who were assets and mouthpieces.) I would not be surprised if something like that was done there and maybe some other cities, on the principle that the mixture of something real mixed with the misdirection to covid, would make it all much more persuasive and insure the whole medical complex got fully on board.

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      1. I mentioned it here once before… October 2019 for me. I NEVER get sick. DOWN and out… weak, dizzy, headaches – for two weeks!

        I live in an EMF messterpiece, AND 5G had just been pushed/activated in my immediate area.

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    2. You should check out this data on the NYC mass casualty event in Spring 2020 (per the official records) and tell us which of the all-cause death data you think is fake. I’m trying to understand why anyone would fake death data that makes it look like chemical weapon or something along those lines was used. Seems like they would want fake death data to back up the official virus narrative–which in the US, it def does not. https://www.virginiastoner.com/writing/2023/7/26/the-nyc-420-genocide-oh-my

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      1. The key feature here is CDC … I do not trust that organization. I’m aware there was a spike around that time, and attributed most of it to ventilators – nurses and doctors were so spooked by the alleged virus that the were intubating everyone who came in with respiratory symptoms. Survival rate for those over 65 was said to be 2.8%. But in terms of actual numbers, I do not know.

        So all I can say is that I do not have access to the real numbers. I do not know who to trust, but certainly not CDC.

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        1. That is fine if you have another source of official US mortality data that is available to the public. To the best of my knowledge, we have either this data, or personal feels. In any case, the contents of the official database are one thing we can all agree on, even if you think every death listed in there is fake–because everyone gets the same search results. The contents are what they are, no matter what anyone thinks of them.

          The basic death data is at this link–and I challenge anyone to offer a logical explanation for why deaths increased 81% in 6 states for 12 weeks in Spring 2020, while deaths in 30 other states had little or no increase, as I documented here: https://www.virginiastoner.com/writing/2025/5/06/from-speculation-to-correlation-to-cause

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          1. Copying here from AI, TIFWIIW.

            Official U.S. mortality data is primarily collected and disseminated by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) through the National Vital Statistics System, which captures death information from all causes across every U.S. county. This system produces timely and accurate data on approximately 2.8 million deaths annually, used for monitoring public health, determining life expectancy, and tracking causes of death.

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            1. Are you saying this data is available elsewhere other than the WONDER database? It sounds like the same data. Link to the search site for the data you are using, please.

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            2. Here is a link to the database I’m accessing for mortality data, which is maintained by the CDC. The info is collected from death certs in every county, per the CDC. On the left you will see links for mortality searches depending on the years. https://wonder.cdc.gov/

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              1. “Wonder” is ringing a bell. Is that the database that also tracked vaccine injuries and deaths? I felt like I was completely messed with, none of it real, and worse, seemingly done to play the really bad guys, almost like Mai Lai.

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                1. It’s the same system that has been handling mortality records for decades. Weird no one complained about the integrity of the data until 2020, when it pointed like a beacon to intentional mass-murder (NOT a virus).

                  I guess you think they faked death data that made it look like a mass murder occurred, then covered it up? Or maybe you just don’t realize just how clearly the data suggests mass-murder, since you haven’t been studying it for 2 years, like I have.

                  Anyway, like I said, WONDER is the only source of official US mortality data available to the public. So it is either this, or go by someone’s feelings about a matter of record, and I don’t see the point of that.

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                  1. I don’t imagine we have a reliable system, by design. CDC tells me we have 1.2 million Covid deaths. When I know all they did was to reclassify flu and pneumonia and diabetes … you want me to trust them?

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                    1. Funny how the massive increase in VAERS reports was also being covered up everywhere, at the time I exposed it in April 2021. https://www.virginiastoner.com/writing/2021/4/19/death-and-the-covid-19-vaccines

                      Everybody peddling disinfo hates official data, IMO–and not because it is unreliable–just the opposite.

                      The key IMO to uncovering the cause of death will be studying the up to 20 multiple causes of death that can be listed on the death certs.

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                    2. The simple operative behind Covid deaths was that if some died within 45 days of a PCR test, he death was classified as Covid. Ergo, death records during that time are unreliable.

                      Vaccine deaths and injuries, on the other hand, were subjective and voluntary to boot. I got two flows of data out of them, one many and one fewer, not recalling offhand why. But overall, official response to vaccine deaths was “Meh.” Unbelievable indifference.

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                    3. What do “Covid deaths,” or vaccines, have to do with the massive increase in all-cause deaths in 2020 (pre-vax)? Nothing like it has been seen since Spanish Flu. These were killings under the cover of “Covid”–so of course the number of “cases” is going to explode.

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                    4. Macrotrends recorded 8.782 deaths per thousand in 2019 and 8.685 in 2018. That’s around a 1% increase.

                      As I’ve said a couple of times now, I do not regard CDC as reliable. I think your answer to that is that it is all we have, and why would they lie. It’s not all we have, and with Covid going down as it did, they lied, they lied, they lied.

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                    5. Macrotrends presumably gets its data from the official public source which is the WONDER database–same place I get mine. Are you claiming Macrotrends has a unique and superior data source that collects county level death data throughout the US?

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                    6. FYI, my experience with all private databases is they appear to use the same mortality data I do, from the official databases, but don’t update it in real time, so the data is usually out of date to some degree comparedto the source.

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                    9. Mark, I know what you are saying, because I have responded to people saying the same thing multiple times in many articles over the last 2 years.

                      For some reason, people seem to think that having doubts about the integrity of the data excuses any kind of obligation to actually look at the data and draw logical conclusions from it. So they just go by their feels instead and share their baseless opinions about cause of the mass-casualties everywhere. If I sound impatient, that is why.

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                    10. Just to be clear–the official US mortality data points like a flashing beacon to the possibility of mass-murder with an unknown covert weapon. I have a lot of writing about that. So, anyone who ignores the mortality data, that is what they are ignoring.

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                    11. It’s the “mass casualties everywhere” part that troubles me … I now this can be annoying to you. If we cannot rely on the data, we cannot know there are mass casualties. When I first encountered Microtrends, they were discussing the US population as if it was steady, and while not predicable, not experiencing any crisis or pandemic. This would include your 2019 blip, which Microtrends does not see. Then they included this:

                      NOTE: All 2020 and later data are UN projections and DO NOT include any impacts of the COVID-19 virus.

                      That makes no sense. Their one job is to track population, and rather than doing that opted to exclude the largest factor affecting population trends at a time when that factor was at its peak. That boggles the mind. I think they were coopted by the people behind the fake pandemic.

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                    12. Wrote about this issue in my last article so will just copy and paste here. It’s due to population size.

                      How large increases in death go unnoticed

                      Because of the enormous size of the US population today, which is 335 million (Note 1), it is simply not possible for the average person to personally detect increases in death, even very large increases like we had in 2020—especially when these increases in death only occurred in limited regions for a limited period of time.

                      To illustrate that point, in the first death spike in Spring 2020, in the New York City mass casualty event, deaths increased an incredible 100%—550% in 25 counties in the New York City metropolitan area, according to the official records, killing 50,000 more people than usual over 8 weeks. The population of those 25 counties is about 20 million—meaning an extra 1 in 400 people died there in the 8-week spike. While that is undoubtedly a lot of people, it means that even someone with a large circle of 400 friends and family in the NYC metro area would probably detect little or no change in the usual number of deaths among them.

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                    14. Re the possible US democide that occurred in the US under the guise of “Covid,” I did a 3-part summary about this issue that would be a good place to start to get the basics about the mortality data and how it is being covered up. Part 1: Intro and mortality data: https://www.virginiastoner.com/writing/2024/8/30/the-us-democide-of-2020-2022-in-a-nutshell-kjl68

                      Part 2: Excess deaths demystified: https://www.virginiastoner.com/writing/2024/8/30/the-us-democide-of-2020-2022-in-a-nutshell-y2bmz

                      Part 3: Coverup strategies: https://www.virginiastoner.com/writing/2024/8/30/the-us-democide-of-2020-2022-in-a-nutshell-bw8p7

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      2. If I understand you correctly, I think we’re in agreement.. my memory was, that the way things played out early on, did not fit the epidemiology for viral spread. It was too localized, too sudden of a huge spike (rather than a slow curve up) – leading the rest of the country to assume it would soon be upon them too with the same effect. (And presumably greatly freaking out the docs who were right in the thick of it, in a situation where they had no personal experience and no good models to draw on – unless they were clever enough to see through what they were being told by higher experts, and figured out themselves what they were actually dealing with.)

        That’s why I said it better fit the epidemiology (from what I recall) of some local agent being spread somehow. I offered “fake data” as a possible alternative explanation only, not a conclusion. From what you say of the link data, it sounds like it supports the point I was trying to make.

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        1. People are always getting sick, so the power of suggestion, plus a few extra stressors is enough to induce a pandemonium, or pandemic. Same thing happened during the black plague, you can read historical accounts, they sound very similar to COVID except they may have been using a lot of real poison in the wells to sicken the population. Today it can be done invisibly, not only through the 5G boogeyman, but through light deprivation, white noise (?) etc. Because the military has been doing biological weapons experiments for over 100 years, no doubt they have learned a lot over the years what it takes to trigger a mass illness/psychosis.

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  3. I don’t think it was fake data, because propaganda was created specifically to make people think deaths were normal in 2020 (and by implication that deaths were faked). There was a lot of disinfo in this regard. I have a couple of sections early on in this article about early and recent fake death propaganda that might interest you. https://www.virginiastoner.com/writing/2024/8/30/the-us-democide-of-2020-2022-in-a-nutshell-bw8p7

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  4. I agree.
    https://correlation-canada.org/covid-excess-mortality-125-countries/
    This is an analysis of worldwide mortality data, showing that it is incompatible to a ‘pandemic’.
    Numbers of people dying increased at the same time, even across continents, after media declared it a ‘pandemic’ – but not in countries where the government didn’t deem it a pandemic, even if those were right next to countries who did.
    Countries that did not proclaim a pandemic did not have increased mortality (this is a big tell), even if they are next to countries who did cry wolf. This is true even for regions inside of countries, like certain states in US, France.
    A disease wouldn’t stop at political boundaries.
    Each country had very high variability in their mortality (a contagious disease would work in waves).
    There was no reduction in mortality observed after vaccinations began. Indeed there was a marked increase in mortality in 110 countries after they started vaccinating, especially in young people.
    14 countries of the world had no increased mortality until they started vaccinating.
    32 countries with high vaccination coverage had markedly increased mortality all the way through to mid-2023 (which was the scope of the study.. it’s probably still elevated).

    They calculated/estimated that all in all (until mid-2023) the covid measures killed 30.9 million people, of which 17 million died by the ‘vaccines’.

    Factoring in the amount of lives ‘lost’ due to infertility is of course impossible when only looking at overall mortality, but personally I also believe this will be a massive fallout. Most people will only discover this when they try to become pregnant and fail. Most of those will never make the connection to the vaccines. Pure evil.

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    1. Sounds very correct.

      At my workplace COVID positives, and out of work sickness, exploded in 2021 a few months after the vaccines. In 2020, at my worksite, with ~1000 employees, we only had 100 positive tests. In 2021 the total was ~ 2000 positive tests.

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      1. I am assuming that you are aware that PCR was searching for unstated sequences having nothing to do with any virus, right? The PCR test was the pandemic, the best confidence game I’ve ever seen played.

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  5. Lets not forget suicides. They skyrocketed during the so called “pandemic”. I don’t have the proof, but it is self evident they would. And two young men I knew in my circle of family and friends killed themselves – when there is no history of suicide in my family. The friend of the family who killed himself was gay and moved to Germany several years ago, and freaked out when Fauci was put in charge of COVID. Part of the reason he killed himself was he knew what Fauci did during AIDs. The banality of pure evil.

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  6. I don’t think there was any mass causality event. No way more there was a more than a 10% decrease in population of 2020 vs now. My reason: traffic is as bad as ever in Boston, Bangkok is still extremely crowded, if a bit less so than before 2020. Can’t be that many deaths, sorry.

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    1. Let me guess: until you read this thread, you never even knew the official US mortality databases existed. You probably still haven’t even glanced at it. But I guess I should be impressed with the same speculation I’ve heard countless times from people who have no knowledge of what they are talking about–sorry.

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    1. BTW, Mark, I have previously published research suggestions for people who suspected deaths were fake, because there are ways to look for this–never heard of any positive results. I know of a few who have looked for conflicts with county death records, and haven’t found any.

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    2. Here’s th article about researching fake deaths, starting abut half-way thru. Anyone can access the mortality database and do this research–no registration or login required. It’s more accessible than WordPress. https://www.virginiastoner.com/writing/2023/9/11/chemical-weapon-kills-50000-in-nyc-no-one-cares

      Hockett has been the main one promoting the fake death idea, and to some degree Engler–but they limit their investigations to excess deaths in just 5 counties in NYC in Spring 2020–and lately, seem to stick to vague allegations of “data fraud” and the like.

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  8. Not sure what you mean by “tabula rasa” in this context, but I do refer to the US mortality database, known as WONDER, as the ONE AND ONLY comprehensive source of official US mortality data. Beyond that, you have to search as the county level.

    I guess you believe that US death records pointing to a probable mass-murder in 2020-2021 were fabricated, then covered up? Or are you claiming the mortality records do NOT point to mass-murder? Or that they are NOT being covered up? Not sure what your position is here.

    Given WONDER has been the US record-keeping system for decades, I give the contents of this database A LOT more weight than I give anyone’s feelings about mortality–the same feelings just tend to get repeated, anyway. Personal experience is NOT an accurate gauge of national mortality rates, it is mathematically impossible, as I previously explained.

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    1. You say you don’t understand tabula rasa, and then define it: “… the ONE AND ONLY comprehensive source of US mortality data.” It simply means unimpeachable truth, something you trust implicitly.

      Did they invent the deaths during Covid? It appears so, and at this point I just share an anecdote … in the beginning, news reports were talking of ERs overrun with victims, so our people went around and videoed them, and found them empty, crickets, wheel chair races. “Our” people are fellow skeptics.

      I watched one episode of the popular show The Pitt, and therein they did a flashback scene to ERs during Covid, with large rooms full of dying victims. This is the job of entertainment, to reinforce the lies. My first and last viewing of The Pitt.

      [There is a source on deaths to which I attach more credibility than either VAERS or WONDER, the SSDI, or Social Security Death Index. I used it extensively in researching the supposed deaths of so many rocks strs during the 60s and 70s, like Jimi Hendrix and Janis Joplin and scores of others. Only one or two were there, say, Ricky Nelson. However, SSDI is voluntary, like VAERS, and ergo compromised. I come from a family of six, and five are dead. Two of the dead, brothers, are not there. But they were real, and they really died.]

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      1. “Tabula rasa” is usually used in the context of the nature vs. nurture debate in psychology. It means “clean slate”, as in do we start with a clean slate at birth, or not. I’ve never heard it used the way you have, but, whatever.

        You started out by claiming there were other sources of US mortality data than the database I have used to investigate the deaths. That was wrong, and proves just how little knowledge you have about this issue. The problem is, no one reads anymore.

        The emergency room thing is so easy to explain, once you realize deaths exploded in some counties but nothing in others. You think it’s a mystery how the PTB could come up with both propaganda to convince people no one was dying, and that a lot of people were dying? You are not that naive.

        Seems you are very willing to dismiss the most massive increase in deaths since Spanish Flu, based on an alleged distrust of the official mortality data. Even after I told you, that data points to mass-murder. Instead, you just make up whatever–and that “whatever” does not include mass-murder. Problem solved.

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        1. I probably misused tabula rasa, as I meant to refer to something clean and utterly reliable, as you treat VAERS and WONDER. I’ve repeatedly said that we do not have a reliable source on population, and you treat CDC data as utterly reliable, a clean source, which in my mind became tabula rasa.

          Also, Macrotrends was apparently doing its own thing, its job, tracking population and trends, and took note of no change in the US during Covid where you say that there was a Spanish Flu afoot in 2019. Macrotrends missed that, and there was entered the words I quote above, that the outfit decided to ignore Covid. Makes no sense. Do I trust Macrotrends? Why would I? You say they got their data from CDC? More the worse!

          Beyond that, I’m not following. I know that in New York City and northern Italy there was a blip in April of 2020, which might be the “worst since Spanish Flu” event you point to … FWIW, Spanish Flu is said to have taken 50-100 million, and not the usual suspects, but rather younger people. As it happened in the wake of WWI, therein lies the tie-in, but since the days of Rosenau, when they discovered it was not contagious, they have not studied it.

          You’re hard to follow other than your faith in CDC. I do not share it. Said it many times now.

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          1. The contents of the official mortality database are what they are, no matter what anyone thinks of them. I report on and summarize those contents and draw logical conclusions from them. Period.

            Once again, I have been examining the issue of death data fakery for 2 years, and have written about the possibility several times. Every time I comment on it, people respond as if I am so naive, I never considered it. That is because no one reads anymore.

            I gave you the link to my suggestions for research to identify data fakery, made 2 years ago. Since then, still, no one has come forward with evidence. How long should we wait before considering the possibility that 1.3 million people actually were murdered?

            Regardless, if 1.3 million US deaths were faked in the official records during the Covid years, including 487k in 2020 alone, we are in the midst of the most massive criminal conspiracy to alter government records in US history–and it is therefore a HUGE story, almost as big a story as the murder of 1.3 million people.

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          2. I’m just interested in mortality data, Mark–that’s all. You don’t have any better data, and that is the problem.

            If you want, you can continue to ignore the official records that indicate a mass murder occurred during Covid, because your gut tells you it didn’t happen. You know those crazy psychopaths running the world–sure, they talk big about depopulation, but they would never actually secretly murder us. I guess you are that trusting, but me, not so much.

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          3. Search capabilities on Macrotrends doesn’t even begin to compare with WONDER. There is no way Macrotrends independently documents death certs issued at the county level, IMO–and they don’t seem to track much, from what I’ve seen, and use some strange criteria, as you’ve pointed out. It’s just a fraction of the info available in WONDER. They most likely get their info from periodic WONDER downloads.

            There is a LOT of descriptive info on death certs including age, gender, place of death, date, multiple causes of death, underlying cause of death, etc., etc.

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