News Flash: Great Depression happened because workers quit their jobs en masse

This from John T. Harvey, economist, at Forbes Blogs:

…I wonder how many people know the formal Monetarist (Milton Friedman’s school of thought) explanation of how the Great Depression occurred? Their analysis depends on the existence of something called money illusion on the part of workers. The idea is that laborers are never quite certain what the current cost of living is since they do not keep a careful accounting of their expenditures. Meanwhile, firms are pretty darn sure what prices are because it is so important to their livelihood to pay close attention. Now imagine the following. Let’s say there is a massive collapse in the supply of money, leading to a fall in prices … The fall in prices, because it means they are earning lower profits, leads firms offer lower wages to their employees. But–and here’s what they say happened in the Great Depression–workers, not realizing because of money illusion that the cost of living has declined (and that firms’ offer is therefore not unreasonable), quit their jobs. And that, apparently, is how unemployment rose to 25% in the 1930s: the money supply fell, lowering prices, leading firms to offer lower wages, and causing workers to VOLUNTARILY QUIT THEIR JOBS!

I’ve heard this before – the monetarist explanation for the Great Depression, but had no idea it was mainstream neoclassical thought.

Read the whole article here.

American journalism: Exponential credulity

Tweedle Dee: “We dropped our subscription to the Denver Post. We don’t watch TV news, ever.”

Tweedle Dum: “But how do you stay informed?”

Tweedle Dee: “I just told you.”

I made that up, but the content is true. We dropped our Denver Post subscription around June of last year, and we do not watch TV news. I subscribe to Rolling Stone, and we take the Financial Times. I usually skim the bar on the left-hand side and look for news of importance. Though FT is technically a British publication, the version we see is aimed at wealthy Americans who are keen to stay on top of business news. That’s not us, but it does offer a wider range of news than a typical American source.

The Denver Post is crap. It’s amazing that a city of this size is so poorly served by its one major circulation newspaper. It does what newspapers are supposed to do – entertain while appearing to inform. It’s not unusual for sports to dominate the front page. I’ve long been an ardent editorial page reader, but in the final days with the Post, with their redundant and extreme right wing editorials balanced by squishy “liberals” (The Ellen Goodman Syndrome), I found myself focusing more on letters from readers. They sort through them, it appears, looking for the most predictable and reflexive. There’s got to be better ones that don’t make the cut!
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The view from Neptune

Free markets for all!
This thread at Electric City Weblog caught my eye, and reminded me that I live on Neptune. These guys are arguing about the wages of a teacher, and Gregg Smith, condescending in tone, says that the teacher who wrote the following letter doesn’t understand the difference between “wage” and “salary.”

CALCULABLE

In his Jan. 25 letter to the Tribune, Montana state legislator Tom Bur­nett presented the idea that state employees should punch a time clock because he feels that they’re not being honest about their hours. As a “part-time” public school teacher, I have to say I love this idea.

Currently, most of my work is long-term sub­bing. I don’t know how many hours I spend meet­ing with teachers who are planning long leaves, preparing lesson plans for their absences, evaluating student work, submitting grades, cleaning class­rooms and working with parents to solve problems, but I must say if I were punching a time clock, I’d be making twice my cur­rent wage. The same is true of every teacher I know.

They put in hours before school, after school, on weekends, during “vaca­tions” and all the rest.

Montana’s public educa­tors put in an incalculable number of hours of their own time, all of which is not paid.

Maybe Burnett’s on to something. Mount a time clock on my wall, and I’ll punch in while I’m writ­ing constructive feedback on my students’ work dur­ing the time between when school gets out and dinner with my family begins. I’ll clock out while I eat, then I’ll clock in while I enter that grading data. I’ll clock out while I bathe my kids, put them in jammies, brush their teeth and read them their nighttime story. Then I’ll punch back in while I plan tomorrow’s lesson. I’m all for this plan.

— Christopher Cummings, Kalispell

In the mind of the right-winger, people only “earn” what they are “worth.”

Oh, we have markets indeed, but in no way are they “free.” That clever little phrase is merely a mental trick, use of a word that has a pleasant feel about it to mask the true nature of markets. As shown in the photo above – “free markets” place no restraint on the powerful in exploiting the weak. It is not talent or contribution to our well-being that determines our wage (scuze me — salary). It’s power, proximity, acquisitiveness, scaling, enclosure, and the kill instinct.
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The lie factory

Petrodollar wars
The US military us a massive organization with an unlimited budget. It is too big to comprehend. If its building has five sides, one of those sides must house the people whose job it is to manage public opinion – the lie factory. The US Military is on a mission and has clear objectives. The dissembling branch is tasked with the job of making up cover stories.

WMD’s in Iraq was such a cover story. They knew they did not exist. If they did, they would not have attacked. Saddam Hussein, as it turns out, was a stupid man. He disarmed his country, literally inviting a US invasion.
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California Democrats deliver package to grateful insurance cartel

The California legislature missed an opportunity yesterday to save thousands of lives and improve millions of others by passage of single-payer health care. The state could have been our Saskatchewan, and any one of of five “moderate” [sic] Democrats could be our own Tommy Douglas.* However, four of them abstained, one vote “No”, and the bill failed 19-15.

Thanks Democrats. You scored another victory for two-party politics. With you on our side, there is no need for Republicans.
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*Douglas, grandfather of Kiefer Sutherland and father of the Canadian health care system, was voted the “Greatest Canadian” in Canadian history in 2004.

A conundrum

This seems incongruent to me, and I need for a neo-classical economist, or a Randian or Austrian School person to explain it. Your theory states that optimal economic performance is achieved if taxes are kept low, and that wealthy people should not be taxed at rates higher than anyone else. That way they invest their money and create jobs. [sic]

We have low tax rates now for very wealthy people, and learn that Mitt Romney has paid an effective rate of 13.9% in 2010, lower than anyone above EIC status. And yet he takes his money and stashes it in the Cayman Islands! What’s up with that? Why is he not reinvesting? Why is he not creating jobs? [sic]

Ingy? Budge? Gregg Smith? Craig? Eric? Perfesser?

[chirp]

Convenient suicide

Ames family gathering
Two types of events that should always raise eyebrows in national and international politics: Important people killed in small plane crashes, and convenient suicides*.

A Washington Post story about an anthrax settlement case (Stevens v. US) that was settled by the government with a $2.5 million payment. After settlement, the Justice Department tried to file a notice of errata seeking to correct evidence it had presented that contradicted its own findings in the case of Bruce E. Ivins, the dead man who was pinned with the 2001 anthrax killings. One part of the justice department claimed that Ivins’ work could not have been related to the attacks, and that the strain used bore much more similarity to a strain developed by laboratories in Ohio. I would have said Iowa. Typo? How many fricking anthrax production facilities do we have?

Bruce Ivins was accused of being the anthrax killer, and then committed suicide. Case closed.
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*The reader might note with this link that the Boston Globe is doing easy journalism by speculating on mischief in a suicide in Russia, a place known to harbor evil people.

Realistic vs fearful vs wishful

On a few occasions here I’ve ventured into the unspeakable – that the events of 9/11 are mysterious and unexplained by the official investigative body, the 9/11 Commission. I don ‘t know what the real explanations are, as it is all hidden from view, but do know that the cellular phone calls, the un-invterviewed witnesses, the highly unlikely coincidences … the very fact that everything went right for a guy in a cave 7,000 miles away while everything went wrong for the most powerful and sophisticated military in the world … that a passport with a hijacker’s name on it survives a towering inferno … c’mon. You guys know this too. You know something’s up.

And that is why I am writing this – not because I know the answers, as I do not. I am addressing the various reactions that people have when they come across the same anomalies. It’s understandable. I get it. I was there at one time.
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Avoid H&R Block

Most people’s tax returns are ridiculously easy. If you have wages, interest or unemployment benefits, and perhaps have some Earned Income Credit coming, go to the IRS site that directs you to place where you can do your taxes for free. Don’t be scared – it’s routine, fail-safe, and accurate.

Whatever you do, avoid H&R Block.

If your taxes are more complicated, you are self-employed, itemize deductions, have doubts about whether or not you are entitled to exemptions, buy a tax program. TurboTax will get you through it. They will rip you off to piggy-back a state return, which is a big profit center for them, and maybe even charge to e-file, which costs them virtually nothing. But you are still better off than you would be visiting an expensive preparer.

Whatever you do, avoid H&R Block.

If you have tax issues beyond the norm – sale of assets or residences, passive investments, minimum IRA withdrawals, audits, rental units, LLC’s and S-Corps and K-1’s, then it would not hurt to visit either a CPA or an enrolled agent. Avoid the shingle-hangers, tax preparers who are neither of those, as they are usually strictly reliant on the software and often turn out shoddy work. CPA’s and enrolled agents must undergo rigorous training. It’s not easy to become either. Do ask your preparer how he/she bills, as many of them, like auto mechanics, work off a schedule and charge $X for this form, $X for that form, without regard to actual time. Those who charge by actual time are usually more reasonably priced. ut remember that if you think the fee unreasonable, you are paying for time, knowledge, and liability.
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