A Twelve Step Program for Disaster

There’s a major effort underway right now by the right wing to deflect any blame for the current financial crisis. Part of it is to simply dump the whole mess on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which had some dalliances with Democratic legislators. Another part of it is simply to muddy the waters so that a person can’t see the forest for the trees (see comment #30 in this thread). In the end, it becomes a pissing match and a D vs R fight, and Wall Street quietly exits out the back door.

Let’s be sure to pin the blame where it belongs: Deregulation and failure to enforce existing regulations, in some cases, actually fighting those who were trying to enforce regulations.

The following article is a summary of a report by Robert Weissman and James Donahue of Essential Information. The report is a very large report (3 mg), but is summarized as follows:

Wall Street’s Best Investment II: 12 Deregulatory Steps to Financial Meltdown

By Robert Weissman
March 6, 2009

What can $5 billion buy in Washington?

Quite a lot.

Over the 1998-2008 period, the financial sector spent more than $5 billion on U.S. federal campaign contributions and lobbying expenditures.

This extraordinary investment paid off fabulously. Congress and executive agencies rolled back long-standing regulatory restraints, refused to impose new regulations on rapidly evolving and mushrooming areas of finance, and shunned calls to enforce rules still in place.

“Sold Out: How Wall Street and Washington Betrayed America,” a report released by Essential Information and the Consumer Education Foundation (and which I co-authored), details a dozen crucial deregulatory moves over the last decade — each a direct response to heavy lobbying from Wall Street and the broader financial sector, as the report details. Combined, these deregulatory moves helped pave the way for the current financial meltdown.

Here are 12 deregulatory steps to financial meltdown:

1. The repeal of Glass-Steagall

The Financial Services Modernization Act of 1999 formally repealed the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 and related rules, which prohibited banks from offering investment, commercial banking, and insurance services. In 1998, Citibank and Travelers Group merged on the expectation that Glass-Steagall would be repealed. Then they set out, successfully, to make it so. The subsequent result was the infusion of the investment bank speculative culture into the world of commercial banking. The 1999 repeal of Glass-Steagall helped create the conditions in which banks invested monies from checking and savings accounts into creative financial instruments such as mortgage-backed securities and credit default swaps, investment gambles that led many of the banks to ruin and rocked the financial markets in 2008.

2. Off-the-books accounting for banks

Holding assets off the balance sheet generally allows companies to avoid disclosing ³toxic² or money-losing assets to investors in order to make the company appear more valuable than it is. Accounting rules — lobbied for by big banks — permitted the accounting fictions that continue to obscure banks’ actual condition.

3. CFTC blocked from regulating derivatives

Financial derivatives are unregulated. By all accounts this has been a disaster, as Warren Buffett’s warning that they represent “weapons of mass financial destruction” has proven prescient — they have amplified the financial crisis far beyond the unavoidable troubles connected to the popping of the housing bubble. During the Clinton administration, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) sought to exert regulatory control over financial derivatives, but the agency was quashed by opposition from Robert Rubin and Fed Chair Alan Greenspan.

4. Formal financial derivative deregulation: the Commodities Futures Modernization Act

The deregulation — or non-regulation — of financial derivatives was sealed in 2000, with the Commodities Futures Modernization Act. Its passage orchestrated by the industry-friendly Senator Phil Gramm, the Act prohibits the CFTC from regulating financial derivatives.

5. SEC removes capital limits on investment banks and the voluntary regulation regime

In 1975, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) promulgated a rule requiring investment banks to maintain a debt to-net capital ratio of less than 15 to 1. In simpler terms, this limited the amount of borrowed money the investment banks could use. In 2004, however, the SEC succumbed to a push from the big investment banks — led by Goldman Sachs, and its then-chair, Henry Paulson — and authorized investment banks to develop net capital requirements based on their own risk assessment models. With this new freedom, investment banks pushed ratios to as high as 40 to 1. This super-leverage not only made the investment banks more vulnerable when the housing bubble popped, it enabled the banks to create a more tangled mess of derivative investments — so that their individual failures, or the potential of failure, became systemic crises.

6. Basel II weakening of capital reserve requirements for banks

Rules adopted by global bank regulators — known as Basel II, and heavily influenced by the banks themselves — would let commercial banks rely on their own internal risk-assessment models (exactly the same approach as the SEC took for investment banks). Luckily, technical challenges and intra-industry disputes about Basel II have delayed implementation — hopefully permanently — of the regulatory scheme.

7. No predatory lending enforcement

Even in a deregulated environment, the banking regulators retained authority to crack down on predatory lending abuses. Such enforcement activity would have protected homeowners, and lessened though not prevented the current financial crisis. But the regulators sat on their hands. The Federal Reserve took three formal actions against subprime lenders from 2002 to 2007. The Office of Comptroller of the Currency, which has authority over almost 1,800 banks, took three consumer-protection enforcement actions from 2004 to 2006.

8. Federal preemption of state enforcement against predatory lending

When the states sought to fill the vacuum created by federal non-enforcement of consumer protection laws against predatory lenders, the Feds — responding to commercial bank petitions — jumped to attention to stop them. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision each prohibited states from enforcing consumer protection rules against nationally chartered banks.

9. Blocking the courthouse doors: Assignee Liability Escape

Under the doctrine of assignee liability, anyone profiting from predatory lending practices should be held financially accountable, including Wall Street investors who bought bundles of mortgages (even if the investors had no role in abuses committed by mortgage originators). With some limited exceptions, however, assignee liability does not apply to mortgage loans, however. Representative Bob Ney — a great friend of financial interests, and who subsequently went to prison in connection with the Abramoff scandal — worked hard, and successfully, to ensure this effective immunity was maintained.

10. Fannie and Freddie enter subprime

At the peak of the housing boom, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were dominant purchasers in the subprime secondary market. The Government-Sponsored Enterprises were followers, not leaders, but they did end up taking on substantial subprime assets — at least $57 billion. The purchase of subprime assets was a break from prior practice, justified by theories of expanded access to homeownership for low-income families and rationalized by mathematical models allegedly able to identify and assess risk to newer levels of precision. In fact, the motivation was the for-profit nature of the institutions and their particular executive incentive schemes. Massive lobbying — including especially but not only of Democratic friends of the institutions — enabled them to divert from their traditional exclusive focus on prime loans.

Fannie and Freddie are not responsible for the financial crisis. They are responsible for their own demise, and the resultant massive taxpayer liability.

11. Merger mania

The effective abandonment of antitrust and related regulatory principles over the last two decades has enabled a remarkable concentration in the banking sector, even in advance of recent moves to combine firms as a means to preserve the functioning of the financial system. The megabanks achieved too-big-to-fail status. While this should have meant they be treated as public utilities requiring heightened regulation and risk control, other deregulatory maneuvers (including repeal of Glass-Steagall) enabled them to combine size, explicit and implicit federal guarantees, and reckless high-risk investments.

12. Credit rating agency failure

With Wall Street packaging mortgage loans into pools of securitized assets and then slicing them into tranches, the resultant financial instruments were attractive to many buyers because they promised high returns. But pension funds and other investors could only enter the game if the securities were highly rated.

The credit rating agencies enabled these investors to enter the game, by attaching high ratings to securities that actually were high risk — as subsequent events have revealed. The credit rating agencies have a bias to offering favorable ratings to new instruments because of their complex relationships with issuers, and their desire to maintain and obtain other business dealings with issuers.

This institutional failure and conflict of interest might and should have been forestalled by the SEC, but the Credit Rating Agencies Reform Act of 2006 gave the SEC insufficient oversight authority. In fact, the SEC must give an approval rating to credit ratings agencies if they are adhering to their own standards — even if the SEC knows those standards to be flawed.

From a financial regulatory standpoint, what should be done going forward? The first step is certainly to undo what Wall Street has wrought. More in future columns on an affirmative agenda to restrain the financial sector.

None of this will be easy, however. Wall Street may be disgraced, but it is not prostrate. Financial sector lobbyists continue to roam the halls of Congress, former Wall Street executives have high positions in the Obama administration, and financial sector propagandists continue to warn of the dangers of interfering with “financial innovation.”

Robert Weissman is editor of the Washington, D.C.-based Multinational Monitor, and director of Essential Action .

h/t: Ladybug

What It’s Like

An explosion rocked downtown Bozeman yesterday, killing one woman, creating a nightmare scene on Main Street. People are in shock.

I can’t help but be reminded that my country routinely drops bombs of much larger magnitude on cities in other countries. Most people here are impressed when we do that. The Pentagon even allows us to watch films of bombs blasting – from a distance, and dehumanized. Our bombs make a big, titillating boom.

bozemanbomb

This is what it’s like on the other end.

Gaza After Israel Attacked

The “H.I. Bunker Buster” (Humanely Intended) – a U.S. Bomb Dropped on Iraq (military target, of course).

Intractable Problems

As anyone who tours the Montana blogs knows, I spend most of my wasteable time at right wing places, engaging in debate with the likes of “Max Bucks”, Craig Moore, Dad, “Jerry Chung”, aka “Rook”, “Knight”, and “Checker”. There’s also Rob Natelson and Steve somebody-or-other (“Rabid Sanity”), Carole (Missoulapolis), Shackleford (MtPundit), Gregg Smith, and the late-great Craig Sprout of mt.politics.net. And Budge. Big Swede and rightsaidfred are always interesting. And there are others I am missing but do not intend to slight. It seems there are far more conservative blogs these days than liberal, and far more conservatives posting than liberals.

Usually the exchanges are testy, and I get called names, and occasionally resort to saying things I wish I hadn’t. Most times I maintain my cool, but from the other side, it appears as though I am thoughtless and dogmatic. In the end, I regret those exchanges that bring out my worst and their worst. (I do, however, love to taunt Budge. He gets very insulting. Yesterday I stopped at “incoherent drool”. I’d bet he said something interesting after that, but I have no idea what. He lost me.)

They will not change. A few of them are thoughtful – they know who they are. But for the most part, it does no good to be kind to them. And that is a shame, because the thoughtful conservatives have a lot to offer us, and we need to listen to them. I’ve been around liberals enough to know that they can be light and feathery, and not hard-nosed enough to deal with the world as it really exists. I’m not so dogmatic as I appear, but I do react to dogma with counter-dogma, often knowing I am merely being a contrarian. To yield an inch is to lose a yard.

Anyway, it occurred to me this morning that it would not hurt to pick on an idea taken from a right-wing perspective, and give it due respect. The one that instantly comes to mind is the notion that to give people unearned benefits destroys their individual initiative, and makes them wards of the state.

It’s true. We’ve all seen it. In its worst form, it is the single mother, unwedded or abandoned and irresponsible, kept away from her kids by the requirement that she work a job that doesn’t cover the cost of childcare, which thereby becomes a public expense. She has us over a barrel – her uterus is a claim on the public treasury. The kids are victims who will soon make their own claims on us. The whole situation is tragic.

Then there is the Earned Income Tax Credit, which was revamped during the 1990’s into a pure welfare program. The EITC started out as a means of refunding payroll tax to low income workers, but has become something else. It is heavily weighted towards people with kids. Again, at its root, is irresponsible reproduction – people who cannot afford kids having kids. It’s troubling.

I see the point of the other side of that debate. I don’t know what to do about it – raise more responsible adults? Birth control? Mandatory sterilization? We tread a line between individual freedom and tyranny. Liberals tend to glamorize these people as victims, when we have all met them. That slice of humanity that I have dealt with is often drugged or liquored up, useless to themselves and to us. The conservatives are right about them, and the liberals too soft to give them the tough love they need.

That is just one of many points on which conservatives are right, and yet … they don’t have a solution for us. Neither does our side. It is seemingly intractable, though deep down many conservatives simply want them to perish. I have tended lately to fall back on something offered years ago by William F. Buckley – that it is not a bad thing to feed these people, but don’t feed them too well. Instead of food stamps used to buy starchy and sugary processed foods that make us all fat, give them access to basic foodstuffs. Let them eat, but not enjoy it too much. To the degree possible, resist giving them cash. They usually don’t spend it well. Liquor stores often benefit.

And about having all them kids? Birth control on every corner. Free condoms, pills, shots in the arm – whatever it takes. We can’t stop them from copulating, but we can make it less productive.

Anyway, I depart the conservative philosophy regarding indigents when it comes to two things that can help lift them out of both moral and physical poverty – education and health care.

Some other time.

Explosive Story

I got a phone call from my brother in Livingston this morning. He told me that a friend of his told him that there had been an explosion in downtown Bozeman at a restaurant called Boodles.

I went to the radio and scanned the dial. Nothing. (I don’t think we have any locally owned stations.) I went to the web page for the Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Nothing. (It’s pay-based.) I turned on the TV for local channels – they were running The View, The Price is Right, and The Morning Show with Mike and Juliet.

Finally, I went to the Billings Gazette. I found the story there.

Blast levels Main Street businesses in Bozeman

By The Gazette Staff

An explosion on Main Street in Bozeman shook downtown and leveled at least one building at 8:30 a.m. today.

Broken glass littered the pavement for several blocks. The blast was near the Boodles Restaurant and the Rocking R Bar. Fire crews and [sic] are on the scene

Check the Gazette’s Web site for updates.

We still have news. It’s old fashioned, I know. A “newspaper.”

Update: A local Clear Channel radio station had some coverage, but has now gone back to Rush Limbaugh. The Chronicle has coverage at their website now. A local TV station did a helicopter flyover. It’s pretty devastating. The explosion was heard six miles away, and blew out windows of all businesses around. The governor has offered the National Guard to prevent looting. The city has distributed a flyer asking local residents to provide housing and support for people displaced by the blast. Local government is stressed to the max, but they are doing a great job. People attempting to get into the area are turned away, and threatened with arrest if the persist. Big news for a small town.

Update II: People below tell me I’m all wet about news coverage, that it was there and quite good from the time it happened on. My bad. That’s why I am an accountant, a lion tamer, and not a journalist.

Saving the Marvelous Engine

I am inspired by Big Swede, a frequent commenter here and elsewhere who has his own brand – the somewhat-non-sequitur. The man has his own charm, and I’ve come to appreciate it. He did, in his own fashion, make a sort-of-dead-on comment over at Missoulapolis – here’s the original quotation he is responding to – Carole links to Haaretz:

First of all, even with their very long-term view, CalPERS and funds like it couldn’t achieve returns greater than 9% a year, as they did over the last 25 years. Long-term government bonds trading at a yield of 3% create too much of a burden on returns, which translate into excessively high expectations of the portfolio’s stocks component…

Secondly, dropping yields on government bonds over time requires savers and public employers to increase their provision into savings, at the expense of consumption. That is the price of very low interest rates. In some cases, it can wind up depressing private and public consumption instead of stimulating them. We seem to have reached that point.

To which Swede responds:

Consider this vicious cycle.

People out of work, less money to spend.
Leads to
Sales and income tax declines.
Leads to
State govt. running deficits.
Leads to
State govt. raising taxes.
Leads to
Business leaving state or country.
Leads to
People out of work, less money to spend……..and on and on and on……

It does indeed seem like a downward spiral. The theory behind the stimulus package is that government has to step in and halt the spiral by injecting fresh cash into the system, creating demand. The stimulus package, however, was besotted with tax cuts directed at the upper middle class, so its impact will be muted somewhat. There will probably be another stimulus package in our future. In the meantime, Republicans are like a broken pull-string doll … tax cuts … tax cuts … tax cuts …

The word that comes to mind is “chaos”, at least apparent chaos as we move back towards order. But how much pain must we endure? I don’t know if the stimulus package will work. I sort of doubt it. I look at Obama’s $1.75 trillion deficit, and shudder. China is our good buddy, but are they that good? If not, do we merely create the money? If we do that, do we spiral into inflation? Hyperinflation?

History repeats, somewhat. Asset inflation and easy money and low taxes and paper chases preceded the Great Depression. We supposedly know more now, and have a Federal Reserve wise to its own mishandling of the banking system back then. Nobody wants chaos or depression or inflation, except perhaps some mentally challenged Republicans who want Obama to fail.

But I wonder if it is all beyond our reach, if we have to crash, bottom out, and again come to know what our forebears learned from the first Depression: We need financial regulation and high marginal tax rates to keep this marvelous engine from overheating.

2:00 AM in the Bar: The Sound of Wingbeats

In their seminal paper “Flying in Tune: Sexual recognition in mosquitoes”, Gabrielle Gibson and and Ian Russel from the University of Greenwich discovered an inspiring phenomenon: male mosquitoes change their buzzing frequency to match that of a female mosquito. This synchronization brings their wing beats to within a millisecond or less of one another. The authors suggest that this phenomenon facilitates the mosquitoes’ ability to copulate mid-flight.

Courtesy of Truce via Metafilter

Bush the Moderate

Paul Craig Roberts, once of supply-side fame, as written a disturbing piece, Obama’s Budget, on line at Counterpunch. Every liberal still starry-eyed over the election needs to read it – surprise surprise! The new administration is carrying forth with the Bush policies on spying and detention. Little noted, Obama’s “withdrawal” plan for Iraq leaves 50,000 troops there permanently. The joke’s on us! That was McCain’s plan! That was Bush’s plan! That’s a knee-slapper!

Here’s an excerpt:

Obama is requesting $130 billion for wars in Iraq and Afghanistan during 2010 plus a $75 billion supplemental request for the wars during 2009. This $205 billion is on top of $534 billion for the Pentagon in 2010, for total military spending of $739 billion.

The Chinese government’s budget shows China’s military spending at $59 billion in 2008. (The Pentagon claims Chinese military spending is between $97 billion and $139 billion.) Russia’s military spending in 2009 is projected to be about $50 billion.

That is, we are outspending China and Russia combined by possibly as much as seven-to-one. Roberts further speculates that since Obama has adopted the Cheney/Bolton hard line against Iran, that perhaps he intends to open up a third front in our war on peace. Or, call it a fourth front, with Pakistan being the third.

In the Reaganist view of the country, government is the enemy of prosperity and needs to be reined in. Since government programs are popular and the public supports funding, these programs have to be undermined. One way to do that is to create so much debt that sustaining them becomes an impossibility.

Reagan used military spending to do this, as did Bush. The military budget is beyond criticism – no one dare cut it. Nor do they talk about deficits in terms of what the military is doing to us. It’s always Social Security (self-funded) and Medicare, and for the less-educated, “welfare”. Out-of-whack military budgets are seen as essential to security. Propaganda rules.

“Starving the beast” has always been a threat, but it has never materialized. Social programs have increased funding since 1980, and Bush even added a pharmaceutical industry subsidy (that somewhat benefits seniors) to Medicare.

But past budget deficits were mild compared to the maniac we now have in the White House. It could be that “The One” will be the one who undid progressive movement. Isn’t it ironic?

Another Government Lie Exposed

Vodpod videos no longer available.

In the above scene, Dr. Emmett Brown is transporting his dog, Einstein, one minute into the future. Einstein arrives shortly after this cut ends.

Not so fast! Schechner at the blog Overthinking It has a few questions. He is troubled by the fact that Einstein arrives in exactly the same place as he departed from. Making a few rudimentary calculations, he figures that the earth would have moved 1,123.17 miles in space – this taking into account only the rotation of the earth on its axis and its orbit around the sun, with no mention of the distance traveled by the solar system itself, or the galaxy.

He arrives back at the parking lot exactly one minute in the future – well, not exactly. Schechner calculates that the departure and arrival watches might be off just a tad, say ~1 millisecond. For a dog to travel 1,122.17 miles in one millisecond, he would have to travel six times the speed of light in a vacuum – backward. Since we all know that is impossible (at the very least, he’d be traveling backward in time – not forward), there is only one conclusion to be drawn:

The movie is a hoax!

And the two sequels as well. Another government lie.