If you are like me, you read and ingest scientific papers by the bushel. I kid. Generally, I read the abstract if it draws my interest, and occasionally delve into one with the idea that I will keep at it until I am overwhelmed. I am not good at math, and generally the papers are based in mathematics, and so lose me.
(The green line above is temperature variations from the 20th century forward, while the dotted line is CO2 emissions. Notice how they do not correlate.)
A large part of the Climategate scandal had to do with suppression of science via publication of papers that the people at East Anglia did not want published. That continued thereafter, but the result has been a loosening of the scientific journals’ stranglehold on publishing. Papers now find their way to other scientists, some peer reviewed, some not. I don’t find evidence of peer review on this one, but also know that it could not be published in any major journal, as it carries the wrong message. So … buyer beware. It is the price we pay for censorship. (Climategate also gave evidence of peer review itself corrupted by the East Anglia people.)
Anyway, I came across a paper entitled 170 Years of Earth Surface Temperature Data Show No Evidence of Significant Warming, based on data supplied by Thomas K. Bjorklund, University of Houston, Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, and under the authorship of Charles Rotter, whose CV I have not located. How they manage to get hold of temperature data from 1850 to include in such a large project … I don’t know. But I found the paper readable by a non-scientist like me.
The paper’s analysis of temperature data (such as it is?) from 1850 to present is that the earth is warming at the rate of 0.07 degrees C per decade in that time, so that in a century we will experience .7 degree C warming, less than one degree, or nothing to get excited about. We could actually use a bit more warming, as this is a very cold planet – have you ever wondered why most Canadians live on the American border? Why they travel so much in the winter? Do you want to live in Norway? Sweden?
Oh, also, the paper states, CO2 has no effect on temperature. None.
The temperature data was analyzed in such a way as to eliminate “noise,” which is things that interrupt normal weather patterns, like volcanoes, solar variations, and to a degree, ENSO, or the El Nino Southern Oscillation. What is left behind is the natural warming that is going on, none of it anthropogenic.
A paper like this will not be noticed, of course, as Climate Change is a propaganda effort, and nothing more. It has been effective, unfortunately. Last Saturday I was at our local book store, and offered Michael Crichton’s State of Fear back to them. They did not want it, as they already had too many on hand. They asked which of his books it was, and I said “The one that undresses climate change.” The clerk said “Oh, well, he died before it really started happening.” We are having a cold and early winter here.
They seem to own the public mind, these climate alarmists, and have brainwashed the kids, and thus we have such stupid enterprises as the Extinction Rebellion, where Millenials show us what morons they are. We can’t do much about this except wait them out. When they learn that the planet is OK, with the usual problems as we have, such as loss of wilderness and over-fishing and particle pollution, but that people are doing quite well compared to prior centuries, they will find something else to piss and moan about.
Germany recently passed legislation that mandates that they reduce carbon emissions by 55 percent of 1990s levels by 2030. Expect Germany soon to be in economic contraction. A large and powerful country like that in contraction affects all of us. But the good news is that China continues to build coal-fired power plants, and for good reason. Where Germany (and the US) step back, China merely steps up. They make our stuff.
Paris accords aside, in terms of CO2, nothing changes, in terms of planet temperature, nothing changes. In terms of balance of power, the US will soon rank 3rd behind China and India while the European Union may fade into obscurity. Put that in your windmill and crank it.