“We’ve had a complete unchallenged view of the climate change deniers. I think we need to have rather more balance in the debate, particularly when we saw a recent analysis of 12,000 scientific papers…and of the scientists who expressed a view – these were climate change papers – of the scientists who expressed a view 97 per cent said that climate change was happening and that it was human-made activity”. ( UK Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change Ed Davey, 2013)
“97 percent of climate scientists have confirmed that climate change is happening, and that human activity is responsible.” (Former Secretary of State John Kerry, 2014)
“Ninety-seven percent of scientists agree #climate change is real, man-made and dangerous”. (Barack Obama tweet, 2011)
Let me be clear at the outset here that two days ago I posted for the third day in a row, and that after that WordPress emailed me to say that I was on fire, and keep it up! So yesterday I posted for the fourth day in a row, and WordPress got even more excited in another email. So today I am posting a fifth article, and perhaps then WordPress will have an orgasm.
This post is not new information, but I like getting those emails.
An essential feature of propaganda, as Jacques Ellul wrote in his book of that name, is to tell the truth. Lying is not necessary, and can in fact harm a propaganda campaign if it is exposed. The truth is shaded enough, varied enough, that a lie can be packaged inside truth. Generally, liars use statistics for that purpose, but shaded language works too.
So it is strange above that Davey, Kerry and Obama are all engaged in outright lying. Of course, when our news media is wall-to-wall propaganda, they are not exposed as the liars they are, and so pretty much get away with it.
Two elements of the Climate Change scam that drive me buggy are Michael Mann’s hockey stick, and the supposed “97% Consensus” among scientists. Each was crafted for impact, and to be used by high profile people to enable them to engage in high profile lies.
It is easy to see with Mann that he forced his conclusion. He must have been ordered from above to produce a scientific sounding report that would claim that our planet is in a dangerous state of warming coinciding with the industrial revolution. Steve McIntyre and Ross McKitrick debunked Mann in a 2005 paper (Hockey sticks, principal components, and spurious significance), concluding that Mann had structured his research in such a way that any data fed into it would produce a hockey stick! Mann to this day carries on as if he had engaged in honest science.
The 97% consensus came from John Cook, a research fellow at the Climate Change Communication Research Hub at Monash University in Melbourne. It is clear from emails hacked from his website, Skeptical Science, that he intended in advance of any actual study that he was looking for a way to make a splash.
“It’s essential that the public understands that there’s a scientific consensus on AGW. So Jim Powell, Dana and I have been working on something over the last few months that we hope will have a game changing impact on the public perception of consensus.”
Well, yeah, so he says in advance of having any actual results. What Cook did is science fraud at the worst, and incredibly sloppy research at the best. He surveyed 11,944 scientific papers from 1991 to 2021, and found that 4,011 expressed some position on warming, and that 97% agreed that “humans are the primary cause of recent global warming.” It was, like the hockey stick, a lie with a purpose, to allow climate change fanatics a tool to use when lying in public. It did the same for Davey, Kerry and Obama, giving them a cudgel to use to beat down any opposition to the Climate Change Hoax.
A better survey of Cook’s 4,011 papers found that only 65 of them agreed with the conclusion put forth and attributed to 97%. That is, by my calculations, 1.62%. This means that Cook’s 97% number was not just a lie, but a whopper.***
But it does not matter. It achieved its purpose. I was reading a LOOT (Lies of Our Times, aka WIkipedia) article on Anthony Watts over the weekend. Of course, LOOT lambasts him, and even doubles down on the 97%, saying that it is now 100%! [Another purpose of the fake “consensus” is to allow warmists to refuse to debate skeptics, saying “The Science is settled.”]
Nearly all actively publishing climate scientists (97–100%) say humans are causing climate change. Surveys of the scientific literature are another way to measure scientific consensus. A 2019 review of scientific papers found the consensus on the cause of climate change to be at 100%, and a 2021 study concluded that over 99% of scientific papers agree on the human cause of climate change. The small percentage of papers that disagreed with the consensus either cannot be replicated or contain errors.
Astonishing, it is. Ellul must be spinning in his grave. He said that propaganda does not need to lie to be effective. These people are liars of epic proportions, and made more so by the wall of media surrounding them not allowing public criticism.
*** Meanwhile, the Global Warming Petition Project, which LOOT says might be flawed (!!!) claims 31,487 signatures claiming that CO2 is not our enemy and that there is no scientific evidence that CO2 is a danger to humans or the atmosphere. Of these, 9,029 are PhDs. Even if overstated by a factor or two, that is, if half of the credentials are phony or unrelated to climate science, it still puts the 97% project in the tank.