The definition of a “pandemic” is a an infectious disease that has spread over a whole country or the world. I am age seventy now, and have lived through … let’s see, looking back now … yeah, seventy pandemics. They are called “cold and flu season. The severity of a pandemic is measured by a concept known as “excess deaths,” that is, the number of deaths that occurred during the pandemic that are over and above the number of deaths that are normally expected to occur in that given time frame.
That in mind, please take a look at the table below the fold here that I stumbled upon at the Centers for Disease Control website (scroll down at that site).
The 8.88 you see there for 2020 are deaths per 1,000 people. The “Growth Rate” is the percentage increase in deaths in a given year over the year before. Note that the percentage increase in 2020 over 2019 is 1.12%, exactly the same as the percent increase of 2019 over 2018. The rate of growth spiked in 2014, and since that time the average rate of growth in the death rate each year is 1.22%. The 2020 death rate is .10% less than the average of the last seven years.
This is a graphical representation of the same information projected out to 2100, the red dotted line being 2020. Green is above zero, red is blow zero. I know nothing of anything to the right of 2020 other than that people get paid to do this stuff. However, notice a spike in deaths around 2009, just to the left of the 2020 red dotted line. Up until that time the death rate had been in decline or was steadily negative. What happened in 2008/2009 to cause such a spike? There was certainly no pandemic other than normal cold and flu season. I can only speculate that the massive recession of that period lay behind the rise in numbers. But in mining the numbers a little bit, there doesn’t seem to be anything that stands out as abnormal. The death rate went up that year, and has been in slow decline since, 2020 no exception.
Ultimately I think the answer is that there is very little to be drawn from the data other than natural variability.
Oh, and also, one more thing … in 2020, there is no sign of a pandemic, no excess death toll in the United States.
PS: I am relying here on Centers for Disease Control, a major force behind the lies that make up our current scamdemic. There is that problem. It is not a reputable source.
PPS: Oregonmatt, polite as always, contacted me in person to note that I had missed the following warning at the CDC web page:
NOTE: All 2020 and later data are UN projections and DO NOT include any impacts of the COVID-19 virus.
First, it is understood that mortality tables generally lag … so that the 2020 data are probably going to be off. But it is safe to say that it doesn’t take a full year to get caught up. So there is going to be some mushiness in the 2020 data, as will be seen below. But then notion that it does not include any Covid 19 impacts, as the bulk of “Covid-19” deaths were in March – May of this year, appears ludicrous.
Second, exactly what are “Covid-19” deaths? Does anyone remember an article written by Yanni Gu “Courtesy of Genevieve Briand” at the Hopkins website on 11/22/20? It was quickly published and then taken down by Hopkins (I copied it fearing such an outcome), and the date suggests monkey business. Nonetheless, Briand provided us with this graph:
(That is about as big as I can make it without totally losing resolution.) The area highlighted in magenta on that graph shows the dramatic decreases in deaths from most causes in 2020.
Here are some money quotes from Briand in the Hopkins article:
Surprisingly, the deaths of older people stayed the same before and after COVID-19. Since COVID-19 mainly affects the elderly, experts expected an increase in the percentage of deaths in older age groups. However, this increase is not seen from the CDC data. In fact, the percentages of deaths among all age groups remain relatively the same.
“The reason we have a higher number of reported COVID-19 deaths among older individuals than younger individuals is simply because every day in the U.S. older individuals die in higher numbers than younger individuals,” Briand said. …
Briand also noted that 50,000 to 70,000 deaths are seen both before and after COVID-19, indicating that this number of deaths was normal long before COVID-19 emerged. Therefore, according to Briand, not only has COVID-19 had no effect on the percentage of deaths of older people, but it has also not increased the total number of deaths.
These data analyses suggest that in contrast to most people’s assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming. In fact, it has relatively no effect on deaths in the United States. …
This trend is completely contrary to the pattern observed in all previous years. Interestingly, as depicted in the table below, the total decrease in deaths by other causes almost exactly equals the increase in deaths by COVID-19. This suggests, according to Briand, that the COVID-19 death toll is misleading. Briand believes that deaths due to heart diseases, respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia may instead be recategorized as being due to COVID-19. (My emphasis)
I tend to take Briand seriously in her work, noting that Hopkins may have deliberately released the data and then taken it down to discredit it, ergo the suspicious date. Note that on August 26, another spook date, the CDC, as cited by Miles W. Mathis:
… updated its site with aco-morbidities section, where they admit only about 6%of the reported deaths by Covid in the US in 2020 were due to Covid alone. The other 94% of deaths included an average of 2.6 other causes—although we still aren’t told which cause was primary. Most of these deaths were among the elderly, which means we can include one other co-morbidity: OLD AGE. This reduces the death-by-Covid number from 185,000 to about 11,000.
CDC then walked back on that, much as Hopkins did with Briand’s work. It is hard to understand why they do this … open up and speak honestly, and then back away. Maybe commenters can enlighten me. Nonetheless, I stand by this post, that CDC numbers indicate no pandemic. In 2019 the US had 2,839,205 deaths from all causes. The CDC lists here (scroll down to Table 2) 2,777,572 deaths as of 12/16/2020. Simple extrapolation yields total deaths for 2020 to be 2,896,272, a 2.01% increase as opposed to the .12% reported above in this blog post. It is still entirely within the realm of probability, and nothing there indicates a pandemic.