Category: Climate change

2023: A Tambora kind of year

I don’t usually suggest that people drop what they are doing and read something because I read something. That tradition in mind, I am going to link to an article by Javier Vinos. He is author of the book Solving the Climate Puzzle, which I have sitting two feet from me. It is in a stack of books I have read for which I intend to look over Post-It flags and review, maybe even transcribe them.  This, for me, is a memory device. Maybe it helps, maybe not. Vinos has written an article at the Judith Curry website called The 2023 Climate Event Revealed the Greatest Failing of Climate Science.

I do remember from reading the Vinos book about heat transport mechanism that move from the tropics to the poles, primarily the Arctic. When, in winter, there is no sunlight, most of that transported heat is dissipated into space in the form of OLWR, or outgoing long-wave radiation. Climate alarmists have used an assumption called Tropical Hot Spot theory, that the upper troposphere is warming faster than the lower troposphere, and that the lower is warming faster than the surface. This assumption was shown to be without evidence** in a comment on EPA’s repeal of the 2009 Endangerment Finding by Wallace III, MacDougald, and Menton. (Menton, for anyone interested, is also known as the “Manhattan Contrarian“. That is a blog where I am moderated, but not yet banned.)

Continue reading “2023: A Tambora kind of year” →

Honest brokers confront a contrarian

Manhattan Contrarian (attorney Francis Menton) posted, “Why Don’t Global lower Tropospheric Temperatures More Closely Track Atmospheric CO2 Levels?, that “The big news in 2025 for the climate scare was that all of a sudden this scare wasn’t such big news any more.” I left a comment to the effect that the whole CO2 scare was the product of PR, and that like buses, when this one goes away, another eschatological demon would soon follow. I did not use that word, “eschatological”, meaning end times, but I wish I had.

MC did a JFK assassination post, 51 years after the fact still harping on the original script of misdirection from CIA to Russians to Wall Street (he left out the guy under the manhole cover). I suggested that he also consider the umbrella man, who was giving the signal used in movies … “And … action!” I suggested that the assassination was faked, and at that point he decided that my comments needed moderation. This meant that they would appear, and eventually be approved. Today’s comment disappeared. I think that everyone having been been fooled by the CO2 scare is a bridge too far. (I think I stated at the end of the comment that Galileo was not done in only by peer review, but by inability to deal with PR.)

Continue reading “Honest brokers confront a contrarian” →

Sea level rise to begin soon. Be vewy vewy wowwied.

The above graph is of sea level rise projected for the city of San Francisco for the period 2018-2100. Please note the following:

Projected sea level rise is as follows based on “anthropogenic forcing”, or human activity:

Level of rise                     Meters                 Millimeters (mm)             mm per year

Extreme                              2.5                            2,500                                       30

High                                    2.0                           2,000                                       24

Intermediate high            1.5                           1,500                                         18

Intermediate                     1.0                           1,000                                         12

Low                                     0.3                              300                                          3.6

1900-2018 historic          0.23                            230                                          1.95

 

Continue reading “Sea level rise to begin soon. Be vewy vewy wowwied.” →

The Polar Vortex

We here in Colorado (at 7,900 feet) are in the midst of a cold snap, with temperatures in the below-zero range. Typically this time of year in our state we enjoy daytime temperatures in the thirties, though often with sub-freezing at night. This morning as I stepped outside our garage to deliver some recyclables to the bin, I was hit with what is called an “Artic blast”, and that is actually a correct label. Such cold air as we currently have is unnatural for our area, and does indeed originate in the Arctic.

Continue reading “The Polar Vortex” →

My Notable Death Dossier #1

As someone over 60, I find myself suddenly interested in browsing obituaries. However, with the decline of newspapers, my only source is the “Notable Deaths” page on Wikipedia. Inevitably, my curiosity leads me to uncover some surprising and unusual details, so I thought I’d share my recent discoveries here.

Continue reading “My Notable Death Dossier #1” →

A Feigenbaum tree of chaotic behavior?

The above chart is a summary of various hurricane models predicting the future course of Hurricane Rafeal. I got it from an article at Watts Up With That by Kip Hansen, whose cv appears to be a Chaologist, or someone who studies chaos theory. The black spot above Cuba is the 24-hour point for the storm, and the diverging lines thereafter are predictions of its future course by the models.

As you can see, nobody knows. Why it seems almost … chaotic.

Continue reading “A Feigenbaum tree of chaotic behavior?” →

Covid and climate change – a one-two punch against humanity

This is written for Substack, as it is all old news here. I don’t yet know what to make of that outlet, but time will tell. I linked to this piece on X (Twitter), so I might endure there, as with Facebook, another lifetime ban. Censorship is wild and unchained, not even hidden from us anymore. 

Every day we hear new scare stories about climate change, most recently that our days are getting longer, and before that other nonsense tales, like the Great Barrier Reef going to hell, Siberia melting, Antarctica caving into the ocean, and polar bears (which are alive and well in such numbers that natives up there want them dead), are going extinct. It is as if Mrs. Olsen’s high school freshman creative writing class is now published on the front pages of the New York Times. 

These are agreed upon lies told by fake scientists and blindly repeated by fake journalists. If you are reading this and cannot stick your head out your car window while driving your highly efficient and nonpolluting fossil fuel motorcar, and see that the climate is not (or just barely) changing, then leave now. You won’t like what I write. Do not, under any circumstances, subscribe. It does not get better.

Continue reading “Covid and climate change – a one-two punch against humanity” →

Impressions of Michael Mann

This has been bubbling inside me for quite some time now. Maybe it started some years back when Dr. Michael Mann, the hockey stick guy, was on a TV panel show and someone suggested that climate affairs were so bad that it made her/him want to cry. As if on cue, Mann generated crocodile tears, pretending to lament the situation of our climate. It made me want to puke.

But I have a lot of impressions of Mann … perhaps foremost, that while his so-called Hockey Stick is pseudoscience at best, it is very detailed work that requires a great deal of intelligence and effort, even if he was probably exaggerating his case, perhaps even engaging in creative accounting. Steve McIntyre, the Canadian mining engineer who took apart the stick piece by piece, had to devote tremendous effort to replicate Mann’s efforts, not easily dissembled and beyond the reach of us mere mortals. What we found was that tree rings are a complicated science, and without a strong working knowledge of statistics cannot be assembled in a way that sends a “temperature signal” from the past to the present.

Continue reading “Impressions of Michael Mann” →

When bad journalism reports on bad science

I ran across an article in the Powell (Wyoming) Tribune called Yellowstone Lake defies warming temperature – what’s its secret? I originally saw the article in the Billings Gazette, but it was paywalled. I went to its city of origin, and again, paywalled. Finally I saw it in the Powell newspaper, where I get four visits before the walls go up.

Continue reading “When bad journalism reports on bad science” →

Approximate results from proxies

 
 
I have for quite a while now been following Climate Discussion Nexus. That is a Canadian group that formed for the following purpose:
 
It offers a forum for more open debate on all aspects of climate change, especially better use of scientific information in public discussion and policy formation. By passing the hat we raised sufficient seed money to launch operations we will sustain through crowdfunding.
 

Continue reading “Approximate results from proxies” →