Just so you know, I inserted the banner words “We Are Morons”in to the demonstration and group photo of an Extinction Rebellion ‘rally.’ It was also the working title for this piece, which I forgot to change before publishing. The Extinction Rebellion group is so pessimistic that the word “rally” seems inappropriate. “Funeral” or cavalcade of mourners would be a better description.
They are wrong. We are not headed for a sixth great extinction, at least one within our control. The planet routinely undergoes collisions with foreign bodies, and that has led to great tragedies. I think that is hidden somewhere in our collective psyches, and that might be the reason that Immanuel Velikovsky was so vilified. Routine human disasters as he described are forbidden knowledge. Mike Baillee in his book New Light on the Black Death*** calculated that we endure a major catastrophe involving an asteroid every 300 years or so. That’s a huge problem, one we ought to be studying. That could lead to extinction of species and … even climate change.
Other than that, we’re OK. Of course we have problems that need to be addressed, such as industrial pollution, deforestation, corrupt science, medicine and politics. These are large problems, and at this time it seems that forces of evil so dominate our lives that it is hopeless. But that kind of thinking is self-defeating, leading us to depression and inaction. We cannot afford to be depressed or lazy!
I’ve sent away for a book by Michael Shellenberger called Apocalypse Never, as I very much enjoyed his exchange with Jordan Peterson. It is almost two hours long (interspersed with annoying ads that can attack at any moment, making passive listening while doing other things nearly impossible). But I did make my way through it, quick to cover the ads with my hand and ditch them at five seconds. One important point (among many) that I took away is the Climate Alarmists and Apocalyptics like Greta Thunberg and those who make up Extinction Rebellion appear to be suffering from clinical depression. What else can they do when they see no future, no reason to be optimistic about our lives and our planet? Thunberg in particular appears to have suffered a psychotic break, as she is so agitated, anguished and angry. It’s all treatable, but first she has to stop being constantly afraid.
I’ve spent a lot of time accumulating facts and data and graphs on major Climate Alarmism issues, like sea level rise, tornadoes and hurricanes, forest fires, and general temperatures. We are not threatened by Climate Change. That’s what the data says.
But Climate Change is a propaganda campaign having nothing to do with data or science, so facts and evidence do not matter. Climate Change is based on a highly gullible and uneducated public influenced by a corrupt monolithic news media, corrupt and bought scientists, and (it goes without saying) corrupt politicians. In such an environment, facts don’t matter, never see light of day.
A woman who came to look at the plants and birds and animals on our property seemed depressed, mentioning Climate Change as real and menacing. What a way to live! I answered her with optimism and easy dismissal of her worries. She responded that Siberia is going to hell. Right now.
No, Siberia isn’t going to hell, but it is so far away, and she’ll never go there so that she’ll never realize how very wrong she is. It is the same with matters like the Amazon Rain Forest, the Great barrier Reef, Arctic, South Pole, and Greenland ice melt – we are not experiencing unmanageable problems, but rather, mere climate variability, and in the Amazon, subsistence farming. Without that variability, Alarmists would have nothing to be alarmed about.
I think Alarmists choose those locations due to their inaccessibility. We can all stick our heads out our car windows and see that nothing is changing in any meaningful way, that things are pretty much as they always have been, from a data standpoint just very slight warming going on (Colorado 1918-2018 .47 degree Fahrenheit per decade, hardly a problem). That warming, beneficial, has been going on since the bottom of the Little Ice Age, around 1680. (I just went looking to make sure my LIA date was correct about that, and realized that there are not many trustworthy sources out there, least of all Wikipedia, and that Climate Alarmist frauds are busy altering the past to conform with the propaganda. We must be careful with our data. It is under attack.)
In propaganda campaigns (Covid is a just a propaganda campaign), facts do not matter. Karl Rove (allegedly) had the following exchange with Ron Suskind:
[Rove] said that guys like me [Suskind] were “in what we call the reality-based community,” which he defined as people who “believe that solutions emerge from your judicious study of discernible reality.” I nodded and murmured something about enlightenment principles and empiricism. He cut me off. “That’s not the way the world really works anymore …”
I wonder if the world has ever worked that way.
I just got done reading (and skimming, as it is very hard to absorb) a paper on “climate sensitivity”, defined as “by convention, the eventual total increase in global mean temperature associated with a doubling of CO2. I’ll jump ahead, for purposes of this post, to the final paragraph:
“This remote possibility [of dangerous anthropogenic global warming] is far from “settled science,” and the thought that multi-trillion dollar policies would be implemented to putatively prevent this, seems far from rational. This is especially so when one considers that for about 95 percent of the time since complex life systems appeared (about 600 million years ago), levels of CO2 were much higher than they are anticipated to become (as much as 10-20 times today’s levels) without evidence of a relationship to global mean temperature..”
Climate sensitivity is the essential element in the theory that we are threatened by increased levels of CO2 in the atmosphere. If it is in the region of .75 to 1.50, we have no problem. Anything in excess of 1.50 might be problematic, but we are not experiencing anything like that. After all, even during ice ages, CO2 atmospheric levels were higher than now. Much higher. Also understand that the effect of CO2 decreases exponentially with increased levels, so that an increase from 200-400 ppm and 400-800ppm would be about the same, and minimal.
So what are we to do in the face of such a monstrous propaganda campaign? Imagine being a school child now and thinking that the future is so bleak. Students are not taught anything real about climate other than to be worried, if not despondent. That is child abuse, in my view, robbing them of enthusiasm and optimism, telling them they have no future. (“How DARE you!”) All we can do is maintain steady optimism, and speak up. Do not try to argue facts with Alarmists. Merely inform them that their worries are baseless, their data missing, and fears unfounded. Do so stridently, if we must. Do not waste facts and evidence on them.
***This is a passage from Baillee’s book that grabbed me and sticks with me. Collisions and near-misses with asteroids pollute our atmosphere to such a degree that we have large die offs of fish, animals, and humans. He thought we had such a collision and that it was the cause of the Black Death in 1348. He shows conclusively that it was not traveling packs of rats. I leave it to the reader to evaluate, but these words are what caught my eye:
“Take this example from the ice-core records. If you access the particulate record from the American GISP2 ice core, you find that they give both the numbers of particles in the ice and the size of the particles through time. They provide this information running back to the seventh century. If you look at this 1300-year record you discover that the section of ice with the most particles and the largest particles is 1920-2. This spike is so huge in comparison with anything else in the record that it stands out like a sore thumb. There is a lesser but still outstanding spike in 1916. What on earth was the “event” that causes 1920-2 anomaly? One could possibly understand something in the middle of World War I putting dust into Greenland, but it’s hard to think of a “once in 1300 years” happening around 1920. Thus, as recently as the 1920s, when the world was well-connected, we have a complete enigma involving anomalous amounts of course dust – someone might like to solve this little enigma! Examples like this one (and there are many, many others relating to past happenings) suggests the past is really a bit of a mystery.” (Page 116)
The reason I find that passage so important is that the time period (1916-1922) coincides with another mass die off not well understood, though certainly not caused by a “virus.” That die off was called the Spanish Flu.